2026-03-29 Homberg - SW Essen match analysis, tips and predictions.

Match statistics: Homberg - SW Essen

Homberg

Germany / Oberliga - Niederrhein - Round 25

13:00, March 29, 2026

SW Essen

n/a

Math prediction: 1X

Match prediction Homberg - SW Essen

Match outcome

Homberg

win or draw

Goals / Match

3.1

2.5+

57%

-3.5

56%

xG for the team (Home)

Homberg

expected 1 - 2 goals

xG for the team (Away)

SW Essen

expected 1 - 2 goals

Trends

Outcomes

Homberg hasn't any win 7 matches in a row, 3 of them at home

Homberg hasn't any win the 1st half 4 matches in the row, 4 of them home

SW Essen hasn't any defeat the 1st half 6 matches in a row, 3 of them away

Goals

Homberg missed goals in 20 of 24 matches, 1.5 on average

Tournament chart

Homberg

SW Essen

SW Essen power × 1.06 times greater 51.5%

SW Essen better at attack 70%

SW Essen better at defence 57%

Team comparison

Homberg

SW Essen

Recent form

18%

82%

H2H strength

80%

20%

Goal realization

59%

41%

Poisson distribution ^[1]

61%

39%

Team power

48.5%

51.5%

[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.

The position of the teams: Oberliga - Niederrhein - Round 25

SW Essen

44.44%

36:41

-5

3.21

1.5

1.71

75%

50%

46%

Homberg

37.5%

33:38

-5

2.96

1.38

1.58

79%

63%

42%

Homberg

Points and results

Segment table:

games

wins

29%

draws

25%

losses

46%

games

wins

36%

draws

27%

losses

36%

SW Essen

Points and results

Segment table:

games

wins

38%

draws

21%

losses

42%

games

wins

42%

draws

17%

losses

42%

1.42

Points per game

17 (47.22%)

Total points

Homberg

Latest six matches

Latest form:

very bad

2026-02-08

Oberliga - Niederrhein

Homberg

Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.

2026-02-22

Oberliga - Niederrhein

SF Baumberg

Homberg

2026-03-01

Oberliga - Niederrhein

Homberg

Sonsbeck

2026-03-08

Oberliga - Niederrhein

Biemenhorst

Homberg

2026-03-15

Oberliga - Niederrhein

Homberg

Büderich

2026-03-22

Oberliga - Niederrhein

KFC Uerdingen 05

Homberg

Goals per match: 2.17

Goals 1st time: 1

Goals 2nd time: 1.17

SW Essen

Latest six matches

Latest form:

normal

2026-02-08

Oberliga - Niederrhein

SW Essen

SF Baumberg

2026-02-22

Oberliga - Niederrhein

Sonsbeck

SW Essen

▸ 1

2026-03-01

Oberliga - Niederrhein

SW Essen

Biemenhorst

▸ 4

2026-03-08

Oberliga - Niederrhein

Büderich

SW Essen

▸ 1

2026-03-15

Oberliga - Niederrhein

SW Essen

KFC Uerdingen 05

2026-03-22

Oberliga - Niederrhein

SW Essen

SC St. Tönis

Goals per match: 2.83

Goals 1st time: 1

Goals 2nd time: 1.83

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