2026-03-29 Ferrandina - Paganese match analysis, tips and predictions.

Match statistics: Ferrandina - Paganese

Ferrandina

Italy / Serie D - Girone H - Round 29

14:00, March 29, 2026

Paganese

4.45

3.4

1.7

1.95

1.17

Math prediction: X2 — 1.17

Match prediction Ferrandina - Paganese

Match outcome

Paganese

win or draw

Goals / Match

1.8

2.5+

27%

-3.5

86%

xG for the team (Home)

Ferrandina

expected 0 - 1 goal

xG for the team (Away)

Paganese

expected 1 - 2 goals

Trends

Outcomes

Ferrandina hasn't any win the 1st half 2 matches in the row, 2 of them home

Ferrandina lost the 1st half 5 matches in a row, 2 of them home

Ferrandina hasn't any win 6 matches in a row, 2 of them at home

Paganese hasn't any win the 2nd half 3 matches in the row, 2 of them away

Goals

Ferrandina in 19 of 23 matches has played under 3.5

Paganese in 21 of 25 matches has played under 3.5

Tournament chart

Ferrandina

Paganese

Paganese power × 1.88 times greater 65.4%

Paganese better at attack 75%

Paganese better at defence 53%

Team comparison

Ferrandina

Paganese

Recent form

13%

88%

H2H strength

50%

Goal realization

Poisson distribution ^[1]

39%

61%

Team power

34.8%

65.4%

[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.

The position of the teams: Serie D - Girone H - Round 29

Paganese

63.1%

29:22

1.82

1.04

0.79

46%

25%

14%

Ferrandina

29.76%

18:33

-15

1.82

0.64

1.18

50%

29%

14%

Ferrandina

Points and results

Segment table:

games

wins

21%

draws

25%

losses

54%

games

wins

43%

draws

36%

losses

21%

Paganese

Points and results

Segment table:

games

wins

57%

draws

18%

losses

25%

games

wins

62%

draws

15%

losses

23%

Points per game

26 (66.67%)

Total points

Ferrandina

Latest six matches

Latest form:

very bad

2026-02-08

Serie D - Girone H

Sarnese

Ferrandina

2026-02-15

Serie D - Girone H

Ferrandina

Barletta

2026-02-22

Serie D - Girone H

Manfredonia

Ferrandina

2026-03-01

Serie D - Girone H

Martina Franca

Ferrandina

2026-03-15

Serie D - Girone H

Ferrandina

Real Casalnuovo

2026-03-22

Serie D - Girone H

Real Agro Aversa

Ferrandina

Goals per match: 2

Goals 1st time: 1

Goals 2nd time: 1

Paganese

Latest six matches

Latest form:

normal

2026-02-08

Serie D - Girone H

Virtus Francavilla

Paganese

▸ 2

2026-02-15

Serie D - Girone H

Paganese

Pompei

▸ 1

2026-02-22

Serie D - Girone H

Sarnese

Paganese

2026-03-01

Serie D - Girone H

Paganese

Barletta

2026-03-15

Serie D - Girone H

Manfredonia

Paganese

2026-03-22

Serie D - Girone H

Paganese

Martina Franca

▸ 3

Goals per match: 2.67

Goals 1st time: 2

Goals 2nd time: 0.67

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