2026-03-29 Messina - Gelbison match analysis, tips and predictions.

Match statistics: Messina - Gelbison

Messina

Italy / Serie D - Girone I - Round 29

13:00, March 29, 2026

Gelbison

2.62

3.2

2.38

1.5

1.4

Math prediction: X2 — 1.4

Match prediction Messina - Gelbison

Match outcome

Gelbison

win or draw

Goals / Match

2.5+

31%

-3.5

84%

xG for the team (Home)

Messina

expected 0 - 1 goal

xG for the team (Away)

Gelbison

expected 1 - 2 goals

Trends

Outcomes

Messina hasn't any win the 2nd half 4 matches in the row, 3 of them home

Messina hasn't any win 6 matches in a row, 3 of them at home

Gelbison hasn't any defeat 7 matches in a row, 3 of them away

Gelbison hasn't any defeat the 1st half 10 matches in a row, 4 of them away

Goals

Messina in 23 of 27 matches has played under 3.5

Gelbison in 22 of 27 matches has played under 3.5

Tournament chart

Messina

Gelbison

Gelbison power × 1.61 times greater 61.7%

Gelbison better at attack 82%

Gelbison better at defence 57%

Team comparison

Messina

Gelbison

Recent form

25%

75%

H2H strength

60%

40%

Goal realization

57%

43%

Poisson distribution ^[1]

27%

73%

Team power

38.3%

61.7%

[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.

The position of the teams: Serie D - Girone I - Round 29

Gelbison

50%

35:29

2.29

1.25

1.04

71%

36%

18%

Messina

28.57%

23:27

-4

1.79

0.82

0.96

46%

25%

14%

Messina

Points and results

Segment table:

games

wins

32%

draws

39%

losses

29%

games

wins

36%

draws

29%

losses

36%

Gelbison

Points and results

Segment table:

games

wins

39%

draws

32%

losses

29%

games

wins

43%

draws

43%

losses

14%

1.71

Points per game

24 (57.14%)

Total points

Messina

Latest six matches

Latest form:

very bad

2026-02-08

Serie D - Girone I

Messina

Enna

2026-02-15

Serie D - Girone I

Reggina

Messina

2026-02-22

Serie D - Girone I

Messina

Sambiase

2026-03-01

Serie D - Girone I

CastrumFavara

Messina

2026-03-15

Serie D - Girone I

Messina

Nissa

2026-03-22

Serie D - Girone I

Vibonese

Messina

Goals per match: 2.17

Goals 1st time: 1.17

Goals 2nd time: 1

Gelbison

Latest six matches

Latest form:

good

2026-02-08

Serie D - Girone I

Gelbison

CastrumFavara

▸ 2

2026-02-15

Serie D - Girone I

Gelbison

Ragusa

▸ 2

2026-02-22

Serie D - Girone I

Vibonese

Gelbison

▸ 4

2026-03-01

Serie D - Girone I

Gelbison

Vigor Lamezia

2026-03-15

Serie D - Girone I

Savoia

Gelbison

2026-03-22

Serie D - Girone I

Gelbison

Igea Virtus

Goals per match: 2.33

Goals 1st time: 0.67

Goals 2nd time: 1.67

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