2026-03-29 Numancia - Sarriana match analysis, tips and predictions.

Match statistics: Numancia - Sarriana

Numancia

Spain / Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 - Round 29

15:00, March 29, 2026

Sarriana

1.42

3.75

1.06

2.6

Math prediction: X2 — 2.6

Match prediction Numancia - Sarriana

Match outcome

Sarriana

win or draw

Goals / Match

2.3

2.5+

45%

-3.5

82%

xG for the team (Home)

Numancia

expected 1 - 2 goals

xG for the team (Away)

Sarriana

expected 0 - 1 goal

Trends

Outcomes

Sarriana hasn't any defeat the 1st half 7 matches in a row, 3 of them away

Sarriana hasn't any win the 2nd half 5 matches in the row, 3 of them away

Goals

Numancia in 23 of 28 matches has played under 3.5

Sarriana in 23 of 28 matches has played under 3.5

Tournament chart

Numancia

Sarriana

Sarriana power × 1.22 times greater 55%

Teams even at power

Sarriana better at defence 63%

Team comparison

Numancia

Sarriana

Recent form

38%

62%

H2H strength

100%

Goal realization

33%

67%

Poisson distribution ^[1]

67%

33%

Team power

45.2%

55%

[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.

The position of the teams: Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 - Round 29

Numancia

48.81%

35:29

2.29

1.25

1.04

68%

50%

18%

Sarriana

39.29%

32:34

-2

2.36

1.14

1.21

71%

39%

18%

Numancia

Points and results

Segment table:

games

wins

39%

draws

29%

losses

32%

games

wins

57%

draws

losses

36%

Sarriana

Points and results

Segment table:

games

wins

32%

draws

21%

losses

46%

games

wins

21%

draws

14%

losses

64%

0.79

Points per game

11 (26.19%)

Total points

Numancia

Latest six matches

Latest form:

normal

2026-02-15

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Numancia

UD Ourense

▸ 2

2026-02-22

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Deportivo La Coruña II

Numancia

2026-03-01

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Numancia

Burgos Promesas

▸ 2

2026-03-07

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Real Valladolid II

Numancia

2026-03-15

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Numancia

Atlético Astorga

2026-03-22

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Coruxo

Numancia

Goals per match: 2.17

Goals 1st time: 1.17

Goals 2nd time: 1

Sarriana

Latest six matches

Latest form:

normal

2026-02-15

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Sarriana

Gimnástica Segoviana

2026-02-22

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Coruxo

Sarriana

2026-03-01

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Sarriana

UD Ourense

▸ 3

2026-03-07

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Real Ávila

Sarriana

2026-03-15

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Sarriana

Salamanca UDS

▸ 1

2026-03-21

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Sarriana

Langreo

Goals per match: 1.83

Goals 1st time: 1

Goals 2nd time: 0.83

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