2026-03-29 Lealtad - Burgos Promesas match analysis, tips and predictions.

Match statistics: Lealtad - Burgos Promesas

Lealtad

Spain / Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 - Round 29

16:00, March 29, 2026

Burgos Promesas

2.3

2.8

3.1

1.33

1.55

Math prediction: X2 — 1.55

Match prediction Lealtad - Burgos Promesas

Match outcome

Burgos Promesas

win or draw

Goals / Match

2.5

2.5+

45%

-3.5

77%

xG for the team (Home)

Lealtad

expected 0 - 1 goal

xG for the team (Away)

Burgos Promesas

expected 1 - 2 goals

Trends

Outcomes

Lealtad hasn't any win the 1st half 2 matches in the row, 2 of them home

Goals

Burgos Promesas has goals against on на away in 8 matches in a row, 1.31 on average

Burgos Promesas missed goals on away in the 2nd half in 8 matches in a row

Tournament chart

Lealtad

Burgos Promesas

Burgos Promesas power × 1.17 times greater 54%

Burgos Promesas better at attack 67%

Burgos Promesas better at defence 53%

Team comparison

Lealtad

Burgos Promesas

Recent form

38%

63%

H2H strength

50%

Goal realization

50%

Poisson distribution ^[1]

59%

41%

Team power

46.2%

54%

[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.

The position of the teams: Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 - Round 29

Burgos Promesas

30.95%

32:48

-16

2.86

1.14

1.71

75%

50%

25%

Lealtad

28.57%

21:39

-18

2.14

0.75

1.39

57%

39%

21%

Lealtad

Points and results

Segment table:

games

wins

21%

draws

21%

losses

57%

games

wins

21%

draws

29%

losses

50%

Burgos Promesas

Points and results

Segment table:

games

wins

18%

draws

39%

losses

43%

games

wins

draws

36%

losses

57%

0.57

Points per game

8 (19.05%)

Total points

Lealtad

Latest six matches

Latest form:

bad

2026-02-15

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Sámano

Lealtad

▸ 2

2026-02-22

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Lealtad

Real Oviedo II

2026-03-01

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Racing Santander II

Lealtad

2026-03-08

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Lealtad

Gimnástica Segoviana

▸ 1

2026-03-15

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Bergantiños

Lealtad

2026-03-22

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Deportivo La Coruña II

Lealtad

Goals per match: 2.33

Goals 1st time: 0.83

Goals 2nd time: 1.5

Burgos Promesas

Latest six matches

Latest form:

bad

2026-02-14

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Langreo

Burgos Promesas

2026-02-21

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Burgos Promesas

Real Ávila

2026-03-01

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Numancia

Burgos Promesas

2026-03-08

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Burgos Promesas

Bergantiños

▸ 1

2026-03-15

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Marino de Luanco

Burgos Promesas

2026-03-21

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Burgos Promesas

Racing Santander II

Goals per match: 2.83

Goals 1st time: 1.17

Goals 2nd time: 1.67

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