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Match statistics: Luton Town - Derby County
England / Championship - Round 22
20:00, December 20, 2024
Luton Town
2
:
1
First half 0:0
Derby County
Match finished
1
2.17
X
3.24
2
3.53
Math prediction: 1X — 1.3
37'
M. Andersen
N. Phillips
41'
(K. Wilson)
K. Jackson
58'
C. Elder
67'
89'
T. Holmes
(P. Mpanzu)
C. Nelson
89'
90+2'
C. Morris
Match prediction Luton Town - Derby County
Match outcome
Luton Town
Luton Town
win or draw
Goals / Match
2.7
Total Over 2.5
50%
Total Under 3.5
78%
Home goals prediction
Luton Town
Luton Town
expected 1 - 2 goals
Away goals prediction
Derby County
Derby County
expected 1 - 2 goals
Tournament chart
Luton Town Luton Town
Derby County Derby County
Luton Town Luton Town   power × 1.1 times greater   52.3%
Derby County Derby County   better at attack   55%
Derby County Derby County   better at defence   65%
Team comparison
Luton Town Luton Town
Derby County Derby County
Recent form
50%
50%
H2H strength
71%
29%
Goal realization
53%
47%
Poisson distribution [1]
60%
40%
Team power
52.3%
47.7%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: Championship - Round 22
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
14
Derby County Derby County
21
6
6
9
24
38.1%
26:26
0
W
D
L
L
L
2.48
1.24
1.24
81%
43%
14%
19
Luton Town Luton Town
21
6
4
11
22
34.92%
23:37
-14
L
W
D
L
L
2.86
1.1
1.76
76%
57%
29%
Luton Town
Points and results
Segment table:
3
All games
21
games
6
wins
29%
4
draws
19%
11
losses
52%
1.05
Points per game
22 (34.92%)
Total points
Home games
11
games
5
wins
45%
3
draws
27%
3
losses
27%
1.64
Points per game
18 (54.55%)
Total points
Derby County
Points and results
Segment table:
3
All games
21
games
6
wins
29%
6
draws
29%
9
losses
43%
1.14
Points per game
24 (38.1%)
Total points
Away games
11
games
1
wins
9%
4
draws
36%
6
losses
55%
0.64
Points per game
7 (21.21%)
Total points
Luton Town
Luton Town
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
normal
All competitions · season 2024
2024-11-23
Championship
Luton Town Luton Town
Hull City Hull City
▸ 1
0
1
0
W
2024-11-27
Championship
Leeds United Leeds United
Luton Town Luton Town
3
0
2
0
L
2024-11-30
Championship
Norwich City Norwich City
Luton Town Luton Town
4
2
2
1
L
2024-12-07
Championship
Luton Town Luton Town
Swansea City Swansea City
1
1
1
0
D
2024-12-10
Championship
Luton Town Luton Town
Stoke City Stoke City
▸ 2
1
1
1
W
2024-12-14
Championship
Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers
Luton Town Luton Town
2
0
2
0
L
Goals per match: 2.83
Goals 1st time: 1.83
Goals 2nd time: 1
Derby County
Derby County
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
bad
All competitions · season 2024
2024-11-23
Championship
Preston North End Preston North End
Derby County Derby County
1
1
1
1
D
2024-11-27
Championship
Derby County Derby County
Swansea City Swansea City
1
2
0
2
L
2024-12-01
Championship
Derby County Derby County
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
1
2
1
0
L
2024-12-07
Championship
Leeds United Leeds United
Derby County Derby County
2
0
2
0
L
2024-12-10
Championship
Burnley Burnley
Derby County Derby County
0
0
0
0
D
2024-12-13
Championship
Derby County Derby County
Portsmouth Portsmouth
▸ 4
0
3
0
W
Goals per match: 2.33
Goals 1st time: 1.67
Goals 2nd time: 0.67
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