EN
Match statistics: Derby County - Leeds United
England / Championship - Round 24
17:45, December 29, 2025
Derby County
0
:
1
First half 0:0
Leeds United
Match finished
1
5.5
X
3.9
2
1.61
Math prediction: X2 — 1.15
32'
M. Harness
E. Ampadu
68'
(J. Piroe)
B. Aaronson
79'
Match prediction Derby County - Leeds United
Match outcome
Leeds United
Leeds United
win or draw
Goals / Match
2.5
Total Over 2.5
44%
Total Under 3.5
82%
Home goals prediction
Derby County
Derby County
expected 1 - 2 goals
Away goals prediction
Leeds United
Leeds United
expected 1 - 2 goals
Tournament chart
Derby County Derby County
Leeds United Leeds United
Leeds United Leeds United   power × 1.79 times greater   64.2%
Leeds United Leeds United   better at attack   63%
Leeds United Leeds United   better at defence   71%
Team comparison
Derby County Derby County
Leeds United Leeds United
Recent form
35%
65%
H2H strength
29%
71%
Goal realization
40%
60%
Poisson distribution [1]
45%
55%
Team power
35.8%
64.2%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: Championship - Round 24
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
1
Leeds United Leeds United
23
14
6
3
48
69.57%
43:15
+28
W
W
D
W
W
2.52
1.87
0.65
78%
39%
22%
14
Derby County Derby County
23
7
6
10
27
39.13%
29:29
0
W
L
W
D
L
2.52
1.26
1.26
83%
48%
13%
Derby County
Points and results
Segment table:
3
All games
23
games
7
wins
30%
6
draws
26%
10
losses
43%
1.17
Points per game
27 (39.13%)
Total points
Home games
11
games
6
wins
55%
2
draws
18%
3
losses
27%
1.82
Points per game
20 (60.61%)
Total points
Leeds United
Points and results
Segment table:
1
All games
23
games
14
wins
61%
6
draws
26%
3
losses
13%
2.09
Points per game
48 (69.57%)
Total points
Away games
11
games
4
wins
36%
5
draws
45%
2
losses
18%
1.55
Points per game
17 (51.52%)
Total points
Derby County
Derby County
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
normal
All competitions · season 2024
2024-12-01
Championship
Derby County Derby County
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
1
2
1
0
L
2024-12-07
Championship
Leeds United Leeds United
Derby County Derby County
2
0
2
0
L
2024-12-10
Championship
Burnley Burnley
Derby County Derby County
0
0
0
0
D
2024-12-13
Championship
Derby County Derby County
Portsmouth Portsmouth
▸ 4
0
3
0
W
2024-12-20
Championship
Luton Town Luton Town
Derby County Derby County
2
1
0
0
L
2024-12-26
Championship
Derby County Derby County
West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion
▸ 2
1
1
0
W
Goals per match: 2.5
Goals 1st time: 1.17
Goals 2nd time: 1.33
Leeds United
Leeds United
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
good
All competitions · season 2024
2024-11-30
Championship
Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers
Leeds United Leeds United
1
0
1
0
L
2024-12-07
Championship
Leeds United Leeds United
Derby County Derby County
▸ 2
0
2
0
W
2024-12-10
Championship
Leeds United Leeds United
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
▸ 3
1
1
0
W
2024-12-14
Championship
Preston North End Preston North End
Leeds United Leeds United
1
1
1
0
D
2024-12-21
Championship
Leeds United Leeds United
Oxford United Oxford United
▸ 4
0
1
0
W
2024-12-26
Championship
Stoke City Stoke City
Leeds United Leeds United
0
▸ 2
0
1
W
Goals per match: 2.5
Goals 1st time: 1.17
Goals 2nd time: 1.33
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