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Match statistics: Lecce - AC Milan
Italy / Serie A - Round 28
17:00, March 08, 2025
Lecce
2
:
3
First half 1:0
AC Milan
Match finished
1
4.5
X
3.75
2
1.75
Math prediction: X2 — 1.2
7'
N. Krstovic
(T. J. Helgason)
42'
M. Berisha
S. Conceicao
45+4'
59'
N. Krstovic
(F. Guilbert)
(own goal)
A. Gallo
68'
(penalty)
C. Pulisic
73'
(R. Leao)
C. Pulisic
81'
T. Abraham
88'
90+1'
N. Krstovic
Match prediction Lecce - AC Milan
Match outcome
AC Milan
AC Milan
win or draw
Goals / Match
2.4
Total Over 2.5
49%
Total Under 3.5
75%
Home goals prediction
Lecce
Lecce
expected 0 - 1 goal
Away goals prediction
AC Milan
AC Milan
expected 1 - 2 goals
Tournament chart
Lecce Lecce
AC Milan AC Milan
AC Milan AC Milan   power × 1.82 times greater   64.5%
AC Milan AC Milan   better at attack   67%
Lecce Lecce   better at defence   67%
Team comparison
Lecce Lecce
AC Milan AC Milan
Recent form
45%
55%
H2H strength
15%
85%
Goal realization
25%
75%
Poisson distribution [1]
28%
72%
Team power
35.5%
64.5%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: Serie A - Round 28
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
9
AC Milan AC Milan
27
11
8
8
41
50.62%
39:30
+9
L
L
L
W
W
2.56
1.44
1.11
78%
56%
19%
16
Lecce Lecce
27
6
7
14
25
30.86%
18:43
-25
L
L
D
D
W
2.26
0.67
1.59
56%
41%
30%
Lecce
Points and results
Segment table:
3
All games
27
games
6
wins
22%
7
draws
26%
14
losses
52%
0.93
Points per game
25 (30.86%)
Total points
Home games
13
games
3
wins
23%
5
draws
38%
5
losses
38%
1.08
Points per game
14 (35.9%)
Total points
AC Milan
Points and results
Segment table:
2
All games
27
games
11
wins
41%
8
draws
30%
8
losses
30%
1.52
Points per game
41 (50.62%)
Total points
Away games
13
games
5
wins
38%
2
draws
15%
6
losses
46%
1.31
Points per game
17 (43.59%)
Total points
Lecce
Lecce
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
bad
All competitions · season 2024
2025-01-26
Serie A
Lecce Lecce
Inter Milan Inter Milan
0
4
0
2
L
2025-01-31
Serie A
Parma Parma
Lecce Lecce
1
▸ 3
1
1
W
2025-02-09
Serie A
Lecce Lecce
Bologna Bologna
0
0
0
0
D
2025-02-16
Serie A
Monza Monza
Lecce Lecce
0
0
0
0
D
2025-02-21
Serie A
Lecce Lecce
Udinese Udinese
0
1
0
1
L
2025-02-28
Serie A
Fiorentina Fiorentina
Lecce Lecce
1
0
1
0
L
Goals per match: 1.67
Goals 1st time: 1
Goals 2nd time: 0.67
AC Milan
AC Milan
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
normal
All competitions · season 2024
2025-02-02
Serie A
AC Milan AC Milan
Inter Milan Inter Milan
1
1
1
0
D
2025-02-08
Serie A
Empoli Empoli
AC Milan AC Milan
0
▸ 2
0
0
W
2025-02-15
Serie A
AC Milan AC Milan
Verona Verona
▸ 1
0
0
0
W
2025-02-22
Serie A
Torino Torino
AC Milan AC Milan
2
1
1
0
L
2025-02-27
Serie A
Bologna Bologna
AC Milan AC Milan
2
1
0
1
L
2025-03-02
Serie A
AC Milan AC Milan
Lazio Lazio
1
2
0
1
L
Goals per match: 2.33
Goals 1st time: 0.67
Goals 2nd time: 1.67
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