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Match statistics: Plymouth Argyle - Derby County
England / Championship - Round 38
15:00, March 15, 2025
Plymouth Argyle
2
:
3
First half 1:2
Derby County
Match finished
1
2.95
X
3
2
2.55
Math prediction: 1X — 1.49
(N. Phillips)
M. Harness
11'
H. Armstrong
26'
38'
M. Bundu
N. Phillips
45+5'
46'
N. Phillips
(own goal)
L. Thompson
58'
E. Adams
80'
(C. Elder)
M. Harness
88'
Match prediction Plymouth Argyle - Derby County
Match outcome
Plymouth Argyle
Plymouth Argyle
win or draw
Goals / Match
2.7
Total Over 2.5
48%
Total Under 3.5
74%
Home goals prediction
Plymouth Argyle
Plymouth Argyle
expected 1 - 2 goals
Away goals prediction
Derby County
Derby County
expected 1 - 2 goals
Tournament chart
Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle
Derby County Derby County
Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle   power × 1.4 times greater   58.5%
Teams even at power
Derby County Derby County   better at defence   53%
Team comparison
Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle
Derby County Derby County
Recent form
45%
55%
H2H strength
88%
13%
Goal realization
60%
40%
Poisson distribution [1]
61%
39%
Team power
58.5%
41.7%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: Championship - Round 38
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
22
Derby County Derby County
37
9
8
20
35
31.53%
37:49
-12
W
W
L
L
L
2.32
1
1.32
70%
41%
14%
24
Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle
37
7
12
18
33
29.73%
38:74
-36
W
L
L
D
D
3.03
1.03
2
81%
54%
38%
Plymouth Argyle
Points and results
Segment table:
3
All games
37
games
7
wins
19%
12
draws
32%
18
losses
49%
0.89
Points per game
33 (29.73%)
Total points
Home games
18
games
6
wins
33%
7
draws
39%
5
losses
28%
1.39
Points per game
25 (46.3%)
Total points
Derby County
Points and results
Segment table:
3
All games
37
games
9
wins
24%
8
draws
22%
20
losses
54%
0.95
Points per game
35 (31.53%)
Total points
Away games
18
games
1
wins
6%
5
draws
28%
12
losses
67%
0.44
Points per game
8 (14.81%)
Total points
Plymouth Argyle
Plymouth Argyle
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
bad
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0
0
0
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Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle
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1
0
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1
1
0
1
D
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Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle
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0
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0
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2025-03-08
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Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle
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0
3
0
2
L
2025-03-12
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Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle
1
▸ 2
0
1
W
Goals per match: 2.33
Goals 1st time: 0.67
Goals 2nd time: 1.67
Derby County
Derby County
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
normal
All competitions · season 2024
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Derby County Derby County
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0
0
0
0
D
2025-02-14
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Derby County Derby County
4
0
2
0
L
2025-02-22
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Derby County Derby County
Millwall Millwall
0
1
0
0
L
2025-03-01
Championship
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
Derby County Derby County
1
0
0
0
L
2025-03-08
Championship
Derby County Derby County
Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers
▸ 2
1
2
1
W
2025-03-11
Championship
Derby County Derby County
Coventry Coventry
▸ 2
0
1
0
W
Goals per match: 1.83
Goals 1st time: 1
Goals 2nd time: 0.83
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