EN
Match statistics: Swansea City - Derby County
England / Championship - Round 40
14:00, April 05, 2025
Swansea City
1
:
0
First half 0:0
Derby County
Match finished
1
2.05
X
3.2
2
3.8
Math prediction: 1X — 1.25
C. Forsyth
67'
79'
J. Eom
(J. Key)
M. Harness
82'
Match prediction Swansea City - Derby County
Match outcome
Swansea City
Swansea City
win or draw
Goals / Match
2.4
Total Over 2.5
44%
Total Under 3.5
83%
Home goals prediction
Swansea City
Swansea City
expected 1 - 2 goals
Away goals prediction
Derby County
Derby County
expected 1 - 2 goals
Tournament chart
Swansea City Swansea City
Derby County Derby County
Derby County Derby County   power × 1.1 times greater   52.3%
Derby County Derby County   better at attack   75%
Derby County Derby County   better at defence   56%
Team comparison
Swansea City Swansea City
Derby County Derby County
Recent form
29%
71%
H2H strength
71%
29%
Goal realization
55%
45%
Poisson distribution [1]
62%
38%
Team power
47.7%
52.3%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: Championship - Round 40
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
16
Swansea City Swansea City
39
12
9
18
45
38.46%
40:51
-11
D
L
L
W
D
2.33
1.03
1.31
62%
46%
18%
20
Derby County Derby County
39
11
8
20
41
35.04%
42:51
-9
W
W
W
W
L
2.38
1.08
1.31
72%
41%
15%
Swansea City
Points and results
Segment table:
3
All games
39
games
12
wins
31%
9
draws
23%
18
losses
46%
1.15
Points per game
45 (38.46%)
Total points
Home games
19
games
7
wins
37%
5
draws
26%
7
losses
37%
1.37
Points per game
26 (45.61%)
Total points
Derby County
Points and results
Segment table:
3
All games
39
games
11
wins
28%
8
draws
21%
20
losses
51%
1.05
Points per game
41 (35.04%)
Total points
Away games
19
games
2
wins
11%
5
draws
26%
12
losses
63%
0.58
Points per game
11 (19.3%)
Total points
Swansea City
Swansea City
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
normal
All competitions · season 2024
2025-02-22
Championship
Swansea City Swansea City
Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers
▸ 3
0
2
0
W
2025-03-04
Championship
Preston North End Preston North End
Swansea City Swansea City
0
0
0
0
D
2025-03-08
Championship
Swansea City Swansea City
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
▸ 1
0
1
0
W
2025-03-12
Championship
Watford Watford
Swansea City Swansea City
1
0
1
0
L
2025-03-15
Championship
Swansea City Swansea City
Burnley Burnley
0
2
0
2
L
2025-03-29
Championship
Leeds United Leeds United
Swansea City Swansea City
2
2
1
0
D
Goals per match: 1.83
Goals 1st time: 1.17
Goals 2nd time: 0.67
Derby County
Derby County
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
good
All competitions · season 2024
2025-02-22
Championship
Derby County Derby County
Millwall Millwall
0
1
0
0
L
2025-03-01
Championship
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
Derby County Derby County
1
0
0
0
L
2025-03-08
Championship
Derby County Derby County
Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers
▸ 2
1
2
1
W
2025-03-11
Championship
Derby County Derby County
Coventry Coventry
▸ 2
0
1
0
W
2025-03-15
Championship
Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle
Derby County Derby County
2
▸ 3
1
2
W
2025-04-02
Championship
Derby County Derby County
Preston North End Preston North End
▸ 2
0
0
0
W
Goals per match: 2.33
Goals 1st time: 1.17
Goals 2nd time: 1.17
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