EN
Match statistics: Nacional - Estrela
Portugal / Primeira Liga - Round 28
14:30, April 06, 2025
Nacional
0
:
1
First half 0:0
Estrela
Match finished
1
2.05
X
3.25
2
3.75
Math prediction: 1X — 1.25
Chico Banza
21'
37'
Matheus Dias
Leo Cordeiro
72'
(Kikas)
Jovane
81'
Match prediction Nacional - Estrela
Match outcome
Nacional
Nacional
win or draw
Goals / Match
2.3
Total Over 2.5
39%
Total Under 3.5
81%
Home goals prediction
Nacional
Nacional
expected 1 - 2 goals
Away goals prediction
Estrela
Estrela
expected 0 - 1 goal
Tournament chart
Nacional Nacional
Estrela Estrela
Nacional Nacional   power × 1.61 times greater   61.7%
Nacional Nacional   better at attack   71%
Teams even at defence
Team comparison
Nacional Nacional
Estrela Estrela
Recent form
67%
33%
H2H strength
50%
50%
Goal realization
56%
44%
Poisson distribution [1]
76%
24%
Team power
61.7%
38.3%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: Primeira Liga - Round 28
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
11
Nacional Nacional
27
8
5
14
29
35.8%
26:37
-11
L
W
L
W
L
2.33
0.96
1.37
70%
41%
19%
15
Estrela Estrela
27
5
8
14
23
28.4%
21:41
-20
L
L
D
D
D
2.3
0.78
1.52
63%
37%
19%
Nacional
Points and results
Segment table:
3
All games
27
games
8
wins
30%
5
draws
19%
14
losses
52%
1.07
Points per game
29 (35.8%)
Total points
Home games
13
games
7
wins
54%
2
draws
15%
4
losses
31%
1.77
Points per game
23 (58.97%)
Total points
Estrela
Points and results
Segment table:
4
All games
27
games
5
wins
19%
8
draws
30%
14
losses
52%
0.85
Points per game
23 (28.4%)
Total points
Away games
13
games
1
wins
8%
4
draws
31%
8
losses
62%
0.54
Points per game
7 (17.95%)
Total points
Nacional
Nacional
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
normal
All competitions · season 2024
2025-02-15
Primeira Liga
Nacional Nacional
Estoril Estoril
2
2
1
1
D
2025-02-21
Primeira Liga
SC Braga SC Braga
Nacional Nacional
1
0
1
0
L
2025-03-01
Primeira Liga
Nacional Nacional
Famalicao Famalicao
▸ 2
1
1
0
W
2025-03-08
Primeira Liga
Benfica Benfica
Nacional Nacional
3
0
2
0
L
2025-03-16
Primeira Liga
Nacional Nacional
Casa Pia Casa Pia
▸ 3
1
1
0
W
2025-03-30
Primeira Liga
Santa Clara Santa Clara
Nacional Nacional
1
0
1
0
L
Goals per match: 2.67
Goals 1st time: 1.33
Goals 2nd time: 1.33
Estrela
Estrela
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
bad
All competitions · season 2024
2025-02-14
Primeira Liga
Boavista Boavista
Estrela Estrela
0
▸ 1
0
1
W
2025-02-23
Primeira Liga
Estrela Estrela
Santa Clara Santa Clara
0
0
0
0
D
2025-03-02
Primeira Liga
Moreirense Moreirense
Estrela Estrela
1
1
0
0
D
2025-03-07
Primeira Liga
Estrela Estrela
Gil Vicente Gil Vicente
1
1
0
0
D
2025-03-16
Primeira Liga
Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes
Estrela Estrela
2
0
1
0
L
2025-03-29
Primeira Liga
Estrela Estrela
Sporting CP Sporting CP
0
3
0
0
L
Goals per match: 1.67
Goals 1st time: 0.33
Goals 2nd time: 1.33
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