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Match statistics: Marseille - Toulouse
France / Ligue 1 - Round 28
18:45, April 06, 2025
Marseille
3
:
2
First half 1:1
Toulouse
Match finished
1
1.75
X
3.8
2
4.5
Math prediction: 1X — 1.18
21'
G. Suazo
(own goal)
24'
M. Greenwood
(G. Suazo)
F. Magri
28'
S. Babicka
32'
F. Magri
56'
57'
M. Greenwood
(I. Bennacer)
64'
A. Rabiot
C. Casseres
68'
(C. Casseres)
V. Sierro
76'
90+5'
B. Nadir
Match prediction Marseille - Toulouse
Match outcome
Marseille
Marseille
win or draw
Goals / Match
2.9
Total Over 2.5
56%
Total Under 3.5
68%
Home goals prediction
Marseille
Marseille
expected 1 - 2 goals
Away goals prediction
Toulouse
Toulouse
expected 1 - 2 goals
Tournament chart
Marseille Marseille
Toulouse Toulouse
Marseille Marseille   power × 1.03 times greater   50.7%
Toulouse Toulouse   better at attack   75%
Toulouse Toulouse   better at defence   56%
Team comparison
Marseille Marseille
Toulouse Toulouse
Recent form
30%
70%
H2H strength
85%
15%
Goal realization
70%
30%
Poisson distribution [1]
50%
50%
Team power
50.7%
49.3%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: Ligue 1 - Round 28
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
3
Marseille Marseille
27
15
4
8
49
60.49%
54:36
+18
L
L
L
W
L
3.33
2
1.33
93%
63%
44%
11
Toulouse Toulouse
27
9
7
11
34
41.98%
35:33
+2
L
L
D
W
W
2.52
1.3
1.22
81%
48%
19%
Marseille
Points and results
Segment table:
2
All games
27
games
15
wins
56%
4
draws
15%
8
losses
30%
1.81
Points per game
49 (60.49%)
Total points
Home games
13
games
6
wins
46%
4
draws
31%
3
losses
23%
1.69
Points per game
22 (56.41%)
Total points
Toulouse
Points and results
Segment table:
3
All games
27
games
9
wins
33%
7
draws
26%
11
losses
41%
1.26
Points per game
34 (41.98%)
Total points
Away games
13
games
5
wins
38%
3
draws
23%
5
losses
38%
1.38
Points per game
18 (46.15%)
Total points
Marseille
Marseille
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
bad
All competitions · season 2024
2025-02-15
Ligue 1
Marseille Marseille
Saint Etienne Saint Etienne
▸ 5
1
1
0
W
2025-02-22
Ligue 1
Auxerre Auxerre
Marseille Marseille
3
0
1
0
L
2025-03-02
Ligue 1
Marseille Marseille
Nantes Nantes
▸ 2
0
0
0
W
2025-03-08
Ligue 1
Marseille Marseille
Lens Lens
0
1
0
0
L
2025-03-16
Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain
Marseille Marseille
3
1
2
0
L
2025-03-29
Ligue 1
Reims Reims
Marseille Marseille
3
1
1
0
L
Goals per match: 3.33
Goals 1st time: 0.83
Goals 2nd time: 2.5
Toulouse
Toulouse
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
normal
All competitions · season 2024
2025-02-15
Ligue 1
Toulouse Toulouse
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain
0
1
0
0
L
2025-02-23
Ligue 1
Le Havre Le Havre
Toulouse Toulouse
1
▸ 4
0
1
W
2025-03-02
Ligue 1
Angers Angers
Toulouse Toulouse
0
▸ 4
0
0
W
2025-03-07
Ligue 1
Toulouse Toulouse
Monaco Monaco
1
1
0
1
D
2025-03-16
Ligue 1
Strasbourg Strasbourg
Toulouse Toulouse
2
1
0
1
L
2025-03-30
Ligue 1
Toulouse Toulouse
Brest Brest
2
4
0
2
L
Goals per match: 3.5
Goals 1st time: 0.83
Goals 2nd time: 2.67
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