EN
Match statistics: Derby County - Luton Town
England / Championship - Round 43
11:30, April 18, 2025
Derby County
0
:
1
First half 0:1
Luton Town
Match finished
1
2.55
X
3
2
3
Math prediction: 1X — 1.37
M. Alli
10'
29'
S. Langas
C. Morris
38'
M. Alli
68'
90+5'
K. Jackson
Match prediction Derby County - Luton Town
Match outcome
Derby County
Derby County
win or draw
Goals / Match
2.4
Total Over 2.5
42%
Total Under 3.5
82%
Home goals prediction
Derby County
Derby County
expected 1 - 2 goals
Away goals prediction
Luton Town
Luton Town
expected 0 - 1 goal
Tournament chart
Derby County Derby County
Luton Town Luton Town
Derby County Derby County   power × 1.09 times greater   52.2%
Derby County Derby County   better at attack   70%
Luton Town Luton Town   better at defence   63%
Team comparison
Derby County Derby County
Luton Town Luton Town
Recent form
57%
43%
H2H strength
29%
71%
Goal realization
46%
54%
Poisson distribution [1]
73%
27%
Team power
52.2%
48%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: Championship - Round 43
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
21
Derby County Derby County
42
11
10
21
43
34.13%
44:54
-10
D
D
L
W
W
2.33
1.05
1.29
69%
40%
17%
23
Luton Town Luton Town
42
10
10
22
40
31.75%
37:63
-26
L
D
D
W
D
2.38
0.88
1.5
67%
43%
19%
Derby County
Points and results
Segment table:
3
All games
42
games
11
wins
26%
10
draws
24%
21
losses
50%
1.02
Points per game
43 (34.13%)
Total points
Home games
21
games
9
wins
43%
4
draws
19%
8
losses
38%
1.48
Points per game
31 (49.21%)
Total points
Luton Town
Points and results
Segment table:
3
All games
42
games
10
wins
24%
10
draws
24%
22
losses
52%
0.95
Points per game
40 (31.75%)
Total points
Away games
21
games
3
wins
14%
3
draws
14%
15
losses
71%
0.57
Points per game
12 (19.05%)
Total points
Derby County
Derby County
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
good
All competitions · season 2024
2025-03-11
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Derby County Derby County
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▸ 2
0
1
0
W
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Derby County Derby County
2
▸ 3
1
2
W
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Derby County Derby County
Preston North End Preston North End
▸ 2
0
0
0
W
2025-04-05
Championship
Swansea City Swansea City
Derby County Derby County
1
0
0
0
L
2025-04-08
Championship
Derby County Derby County
Burnley Burnley
0
0
0
0
D
2025-04-12
Championship
Portsmouth Portsmouth
Derby County Derby County
2
2
0
0
D
Goals per match: 2.33
Goals 1st time: 0.67
Goals 2nd time: 1.67
Luton Town
Luton Town
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
normal
All competitions · season 2024
2025-03-11
Championship
Cardiff City Cardiff City
Luton Town Luton Town
1
▸ 2
0
0
W
2025-03-15
Championship
Luton Town Luton Town
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
0
0
0
0
D
2025-03-29
Championship
Hull City Hull City
Luton Town Luton Town
0
▸ 1
0
0
W
2025-04-05
Championship
Luton Town Luton Town
Leeds United Leeds United
1
1
1
1
D
2025-04-08
Championship
Stoke City Stoke City
Luton Town Luton Town
1
1
0
0
D
2025-04-12
Championship
Luton Town Luton Town
Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers
0
1
0
0
L
Goals per match: 1.5
Goals 1st time: 0.33
Goals 2nd time: 1.17
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