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Match statistics: Arouca - Estrela
Portugal / Primeira Liga - Round 30
17:00, April 19, 2025
Arouca
1
:
0
First half 0:0
Estrela
Match finished
1
1.9
X
3.3
2
4.1
Math prediction: 1X — 1.22
39'
J. Fontan
Jovane
43'
A. Ruiz
45+3'
45+3'
Jason
56'
Alex Pinto
67'
D. Nandin
(M. Sylla)
Chico Banza
75'
81'
B. Mansilla
(missed penalty)
86'
Pedro Santos
Ferro
88'
Match prediction Arouca - Estrela
Match outcome
Arouca
Arouca
win or draw
Goals / Match
2.4
Total Over 2.5
43%
Total Under 3.5
76%
Home goals prediction
Arouca
Arouca
expected 0 - 1 goal
Away goals prediction
Estrela
Estrela
expected 0 - 1 goal
Tournament chart
Arouca Arouca
Estrela Estrela
Arouca Arouca   power × 1.45 times greater   59.3%
Arouca Arouca   better at attack   75%
Teams even at defence
Team comparison
Arouca Arouca
Estrela Estrela
Recent form
56%
44%
H2H strength
50%
50%
Goal realization
63%
38%
Poisson distribution [1]
62%
38%
Team power
59.3%
40.8%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: Primeira Liga - Round 30
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
13
Arouca Arouca
29
7
9
13
30
34.48%
29:45
-16
D
L
L
D
W
2.55
1
1.55
72%
52%
31%
15
Estrela Estrela
29
6
8
15
26
29.89%
22:42
-20
L
W
L
L
D
2.21
0.76
1.45
59%
34%
17%
Arouca
Points and results
Segment table:
3
All games
29
games
7
wins
24%
9
draws
31%
13
losses
45%
1.03
Points per game
30 (34.48%)
Total points
Home games
14
games
3
wins
21%
5
draws
36%
6
losses
43%
1
Points per game
14 (33.33%)
Total points
Estrela
Points and results
Segment table:
4
All games
29
games
6
wins
21%
8
draws
28%
15
losses
52%
0.9
Points per game
26 (29.89%)
Total points
Away games
14
games
2
wins
14%
4
draws
29%
8
losses
57%
0.71
Points per game
10 (23.81%)
Total points
Arouca
Arouca
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
bad
All competitions · season 2024
2025-03-01
Primeira Liga
Arouca Arouca
FC Porto FC Porto
0
2
0
1
L
2025-03-08
Primeira Liga
AVS Futebol SAD AVS Futebol SAD
Arouca Arouca
0
▸ 1
0
0
W
2025-03-16
Primeira Liga
Arouca Arouca
Estoril Estoril
1
1
1
0
D
2025-03-29
Primeira Liga
SC Braga SC Braga
Arouca Arouca
2
1
2
0
L
2025-04-05
Primeira Liga
Arouca Arouca
Famalicao Famalicao
1
2
0
1
L
2025-04-13
Primeira Liga
Benfica Benfica
Arouca Arouca
2
2
0
0
D
Goals per match: 2.5
Goals 1st time: 0.83
Goals 2nd time: 1.67
Estrela
Estrela
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
bad
All competitions · season 2024
2025-03-02
Primeira Liga
Moreirense Moreirense
Estrela Estrela
1
1
0
0
D
2025-03-07
Primeira Liga
Estrela Estrela
Gil Vicente Gil Vicente
1
1
0
0
D
2025-03-16
Primeira Liga
Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes
Estrela Estrela
2
0
1
0
L
2025-03-29
Primeira Liga
Estrela Estrela
Sporting CP Sporting CP
0
3
0
0
L
2025-04-06
Primeira Liga
Nacional Nacional
Estrela Estrela
0
▸ 1
0
0
W
2025-04-13
Primeira Liga
Estrela Estrela
SC Farense SC Farense
0
1
0
0
L
Goals per match: 1.83
Goals 1st time: 0.17
Goals 2nd time: 1.67
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