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Match statistics: Carlisle United - Derby County

England / League One - Round 9
14:00, September 23, 2023
Carlisle United
0
:
2
Derby County
1
3.25
X
3.5
2
2.05
Math prediction: X2
Match prediction Carlisle United - Derby County
Match outcome
Derby County
Derby County
win or draw
Goals / Match
2.5
Total Over 2.5
42%
Total Under 3.5
86%
Home goals prediction
Carlisle United
Carlisle United
expected 1 - 2 goals
Away goals prediction
Derby County
Derby County
expected 1 - 2 goals
Tournament chart
Carlisle United Carlisle United
Derby County Derby County
Derby County Derby County   power × 1.84 times greater   64.8%
Derby County Derby County   better at attack   62%
Carlisle United Carlisle United   better at defence   54%
Team comparison
Carlisle United Carlisle United
Derby County Derby County
Recent form
42%
58%
H2H strength
20%
80%
Goal realization
25%
75%
Poisson distribution [1]
32%
68%
Team power
35.2%
64.8%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: League One - Round 9
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
12
Derby County Derby County
7
3
1
3
10
47.62%
12:9
+3
L
W
W
L
D
3
1.71
1.29
86%
71%
14%
18
Carlisle United Carlisle United
8
1
4
3
7
29.17%
7:9
-2
L
L
W
D
D
2
0.88
1.13
75%
13%
13%
Carlisle United
Points and results
Segment table:
3
All games
8
games
1
wins
13%
4
draws
50%
3
losses
38%
0.88
Points per game
7 (29.17%)
Total points
Home games
4
games
1
wins
25%
2
draws
50%
1
losses
25%
1.25
Points per game
5 (41.67%)
Total points
Derby County
Points and results
Segment table:
2
All games
7
games
3
wins
43%
1
draws
14%
3
losses
43%
1.43
Points per game
10 (47.62%)
Total points
Away games
3
games
2
wins
67%
0
draws
0%
1
losses
33%
2
Points per game
6 (66.67%)
Total points
Carlisle United
Carlisle United
Recent matches: 0
Latest form:
limited data
All competitions · season 2023
No completed matches available before this fixture.
Derby County
Derby County
Recent matches: 0
Latest form:
limited data
All competitions · season 2023
No completed matches available before this fixture.
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