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Match statistics: Vasco da Gama - Bahia
Brazil / Serie A - Round 16
22:30, September 24, 2025
Vasco da Gama
3
:
1
First half 1:1
Bahia
Match finished
1
2.32
X
3.2
2
3.15
Math prediction: X2 — 1.6
M. Sanabria
31'
Jean Lucas
36'
Gilberto
44'
45+1'
Coutinho
60'
J. Rodriguez
(N. Moreira)
M. Sanabria
63'
77'
Luciano Juba
(own goal)
Match prediction Vasco da Gama - Bahia
Match outcome
Bahia
Bahia
win or draw
Goals / Match
2.7
Total Over 2.5
54%
Total Under 3.5
78%
Home goals prediction
Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama
expected 1 - 2 goals
Away goals prediction
Bahia
Bahia
expected 1 - 2 goals
Tournament chart
Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama
Bahia Bahia
Bahia Bahia   power × 1.28 times greater   56.2%
Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama   better at attack   53%
Bahia Bahia   better at defence   53%
Team comparison
Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama
Bahia Bahia
Recent form
42%
58%
H2H strength
29%
71%
Goal realization
43%
57%
Poisson distribution [1]
49%
51%
Team power
43.8%
56.2%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: Serie A - Round 16
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
6
Bahia Bahia
22
10
7
5
37
56.06%
30:25
+5
D
L
L
W
W
2.5
1.36
1.14
73%
50%
14%
16
Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama
23
6
6
11
24
34.78%
33:34
-1
D
D
W
L
L
2.91
1.43
1.48
87%
57%
30%
Vasco da Gama
Points and results
Segment table:
3
All games
23
games
6
wins
26%
6
draws
26%
11
losses
48%
1.04
Points per game
24 (34.78%)
Total points
Home games
11
games
3
wins
27%
4
draws
36%
4
losses
36%
1.18
Points per game
13 (39.39%)
Total points
Bahia
Points and results
Segment table:
2
All games
22
games
10
wins
45%
7
draws
32%
5
losses
23%
1.68
Points per game
37 (56.06%)
Total points
Away games
11
games
3
wins
27%
4
draws
36%
4
losses
36%
1.18
Points per game
13 (39.39%)
Total points
Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
normal
All competitions · season 2025
2025-08-17
Serie A
Santos Santos
Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama
0
▸ 6
0
1
W
2025-08-20
Serie A
Juventude Juventude
Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama
2
0
2
0
L
2025-08-24
Serie A
Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama
Corinthians Corinthians
2
3
0
1
L
2025-08-31
Serie A
Sport Recife Sport Recife
Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama
2
▸ 3
1
2
W
2025-09-14
Serie A
Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama
Ceara Ceara
2
2
1
1
D
2025-09-21
Serie A
Flamengo Flamengo
Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama
1
1
1
1
D
Goals per match: 4
Goals 1st time: 1.83
Goals 2nd time: 2.17
Bahia
Bahia
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
normal
All competitions · season 2025
2025-08-10
Serie A
Bahia Bahia
Fluminense Fluminense
3
3
2
1
D
2025-08-17
Serie A
Corinthians Corinthians
Bahia Bahia
1
▸ 2
1
2
W
2025-08-24
Serie A
Bahia Bahia
Santos Santos
▸ 2
0
1
0
W
2025-08-31
Serie A
Mirassol Mirassol
Bahia Bahia
5
1
3
0
L
2025-09-15
Serie A
Bahia Bahia
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
1
2
0
0
L
2025-09-20
Serie A
Ceara Ceara
Bahia Bahia
1
1
1
0
D
Goals per match: 3.67
Goals 1st time: 1.83
Goals 2nd time: 1.83
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