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Match statistics: Sagan Tosu - V-varen Nagasaki
Japan / J2 League - Round 26
10:00, August 17, 2025
Sagan Tosu
1
:
2
First half 1:1
V-varen Nagasaki
Match finished
1
3
X
3.1
2
2.1
Math prediction: 1X — 1.63
(Juanma Delgado)
Matheus Jesus
15'
45+4'
H. Yamada
(H. Arai)
49'
Y. Kimoto
(S. Yoneda)
Matheus Jesus
83'
Match prediction Sagan Tosu - V-varen Nagasaki
Match outcome
Sagan Tosu
Sagan Tosu
win or draw
Goals / Match
2.5
Total Over 2.5
44%
Total Under 3.5
74%
Home goals prediction
Sagan Tosu
Sagan Tosu
expected 1 - 2 goals
Away goals prediction
V-varen Nagasaki
V-varen Nagasaki
expected 1 - 2 goals
Tournament chart
Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu
V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki
Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu   power × 1.39 times greater   58.2%
Teams even at power
Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu   better at defence   60%
Team comparison
Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu
V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki
Recent form
52%
48%
H2H strength
71%
29%
Goal realization
60%
40%
Poisson distribution [1]
56%
44%
Team power
58.2%
41.8%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: J2 League - Round 26
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
5
V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki
25
11
9
5
42
56%
41:36
+5
W
D
D
W
W
3.08
1.64
1.44
80%
56%
36%
6
Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu
25
12
6
7
42
56%
26:22
+4
W
L
W
W
W
1.92
1.04
0.88
48%
32%
16%
Sagan Tosu
Points and results
Segment table:
1
All games
25
games
12
wins
48%
6
draws
24%
7
losses
28%
1.68
Points per game
42 (56%)
Total points
Home games
13
games
7
wins
54%
4
draws
31%
2
losses
15%
1.92
Points per game
25 (64.1%)
Total points
V-varen Nagasaki
Points and results
Segment table:
1
All games
25
games
11
wins
44%
9
draws
36%
5
losses
20%
1.68
Points per game
42 (56%)
Total points
Away games
12
games
4
wins
33%
5
draws
42%
3
losses
25%
1.42
Points per game
17 (47.22%)
Total points
Sagan Tosu
Sagan Tosu
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
good
All competitions · season 2025
2025-06-21
J2 League
Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija
Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu
0
0
0
0
D
2025-06-28
J2 League
Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu
Iwaki Iwaki
▸ 1
0
1
0
W
2025-07-05
J2 League
JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba
Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu
0
▸ 2
0
1
W
2025-07-12
J2 League
Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu
Oita Trinita Oita Trinita
▸ 2
1
1
1
W
2025-08-02
J2 League
Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo
Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu
1
0
0
0
L
2025-08-10
J2 League
Ehime FC Ehime FC
Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu
0
▸ 1
0
1
W
Goals per match: 1.33
Goals 1st time: 0.83
Goals 2nd time: 0.5
V-varen Nagasaki
V-varen Nagasaki
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
good
All competitions · season 2025
2025-06-22
J2 League
Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto
V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki
1
▸ 3
0
2
W
2025-06-28
J2 League
Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata
V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki
1
▸ 2
1
1
W
2025-07-05
J2 League
V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki
Oita Trinita Oita Trinita
▸ 1
0
0
0
W
2025-07-12
J2 League
Iwaki Iwaki
V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki
1
1
0
0
D
2025-08-02
J2 League
V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki
Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai
0
0
0
0
D
2025-08-09
J2 League
V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki
Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo
▸ 2
1
0
1
W
Goals per match: 2.17
Goals 1st time: 0.83
Goals 2nd time: 1.33
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