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Match statistics: Ecuador - Argentina
World Cup - Qualification South America - Round 18
23:00, September 09, 2025
Ecuador
1
:
0
First half 1:0
Argentina
Match finished
1
3.25
X
2.6
2
2.6
Math prediction: X2 — 1.32
L. Martinez
8'
16'
M. Caicedo
26'
G. Plata
N. Otamendi
31'
45'
A. Preciado
45+13'
E. Valencia
(penalty)
50'
M. Caicedo
50'
M. Caicedo
N. Tagliafico
65'
L. Balerdi
80'
Match prediction Ecuador - Argentina
Match outcome
Argentina
Argentina
win or draw
Goals / Match
1.7
Total Over 2.5
33%
Total Under 3.5
91%
Home goals prediction
Ecuador
Ecuador
expected 0 - 1 goal
Away goals prediction
Argentina
Argentina
expected 1 - 2 goals
Tournament chart
Ecuador Ecuador
Argentina Argentina
Argentina Argentina   power × 1.97 times greater   66.3%
Argentina Argentina   better at attack   83%
Ecuador Ecuador   better at defence   67%
Team comparison
Ecuador Ecuador
Argentina Argentina
Recent form
35%
65%
H2H strength
15%
85%
Goal realization
22%
78%
Poisson distribution [1]
46%
54%
Team power
33.7%
66.3%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: World Cup - Qualification South America - Round 18
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
1
Argentina Argentina
17
12
2
3
38
74.51%
31:9
+22
W
D
W
W
W
2.35
1.82
0.53
65%
41%
12%
4
Ecuador Ecuador
17
7
8
2
26
50.98%
13:5
+8
D
D
D
D
W
1.06
0.76
0.29
24%
24%
6%
Ecuador
Points and results
Segment table:
2
All games
17
games
7
wins
41%
8
draws
47%
2
losses
12%
1.53
Points per game
26 (50.98%)
Total points
Home games
8
games
5
wins
63%
3
draws
38%
0
losses
0%
2.25
Points per game
18 (75%)
Total points
Argentina
Points and results
Segment table:
1
All games
17
games
12
wins
71%
2
draws
12%
3
losses
18%
2.24
Points per game
38 (74.51%)
Total points
Away games
8
games
5
wins
63%
1
draws
13%
2
losses
25%
2
Points per game
16 (66.67%)
Total points
Ecuador
Ecuador
Recent matches: 3
Latest form:
bad
All competitions · season 2026
2025-06-05
World Cup - Qualification South America
Ecuador Ecuador
Brazil Brazil
0
0
0
0
D
2025-06-11
World Cup - Qualification South America
Peru Peru
Ecuador Ecuador
0
0
0
0
D
2025-09-04
World Cup - Qualification South America
Paraguay Paraguay
Ecuador Ecuador
0
0
0
0
D
Goals per match: 0
Goals 1st time: 0
Goals 2nd time: 0
Argentina
Argentina
Recent matches: 3
Latest form:
good
All competitions · season 2026
2025-06-06
World Cup - Qualification South America
Chile Chile
Argentina Argentina
0
▸ 1
0
1
W
2025-06-11
World Cup - Qualification South America
Argentina Argentina
Colombia Colombia
1
1
0
1
D
2025-09-04
World Cup - Qualification South America
Argentina Argentina
Venezuela Venezuela
▸ 3
0
1
0
W
Goals per match: 2
Goals 1st time: 1
Goals 2nd time: 1
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