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Match statistics: Dunfermline - Ayr United
Scotland / Championship - Round 5
18:45, September 23, 2025
Dunfermline
0
:
1
First half 0:1
Ayr United
Match finished
1
2.45
X
3.1
2
2.85
Math prediction: 1X — 1.4
M. McKenzie
9'
31'
J. Chilokoa-Mullen
L. Dick
41'
47'
J. Chilokoa-Mullen
47'
J. Chilokoa-Mullen
M. McKenzie
52'
57'
C. Gilmour
D. Watret
58'
86'
A. Amade
D. Watret
90+2'
D. Watret
90+2'
Match prediction Dunfermline - Ayr United
Match outcome
Dunfermline
Dunfermline
win or draw
Goals / Match
2.4
Total Over 2.5
35%
Total Under 3.5
73%
Home goals prediction
Dunfermline
Dunfermline
expected 2 - 3 goals
Away goals prediction
Ayr United
Ayr United
expected 1 - 2 goals
Tournament chart
Dunfermline Dunfermline
Ayr United Ayr United
Ayr United Ayr United   power × 1.05 times greater   51.3%
Dunfermline Dunfermline   better at attack   67%
Teams even at defence
Team comparison
Dunfermline Dunfermline
Ayr United Ayr United
Recent form
64%
36%
H2H strength
15%
85%
Goal realization
29%
71%
Poisson distribution [1]
67%
33%
Team power
48.7%
51.3%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: Championship - Round 5
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
5
Dunfermline Dunfermline
6
2
2
2
8
44.44%
10:6
+4
L
W
D
L
W
2.67
1.67
1
83%
50%
33%
8
Ayr United Ayr United
5
0
4
1
4
26.67%
5:6
-1
D
D
D
L
D
2.2
1
1.2
80%
20%
20%
Dunfermline
Points and results
Segment table:
3
All games
6
games
2
wins
33%
2
draws
33%
2
losses
33%
1.33
Points per game
8 (44.44%)
Total points
Home games
2
games
1
wins
50%
1
draws
50%
0
losses
0%
2
Points per game
4 (66.67%)
Total points
Ayr United
Points and results
Segment table:
4
All games
5
games
0
wins
0%
4
draws
80%
1
losses
20%
0.8
Points per game
4 (26.67%)
Total points
Away games
2
games
0
wins
0%
2
draws
100%
0
losses
0%
1
Points per game
2 (33.33%)
Total points
Dunfermline
Dunfermline
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
normal
All competitions · season 2025
2025-08-02
Championship
Morton Morton
Dunfermline Dunfermline
0
0
0
0
D
2025-08-09
Championship
Dunfermline Dunfermline
Airdrie United Airdrie United
▸ 2
0
2
0
W
2025-08-22
Championship
Raith Rovers Raith Rovers
Dunfermline Dunfermline
2
0
1
0
L
2025-08-30
Championship
Dunfermline Dunfermline
Ross County Ross County
2
2
1
1
D
2025-09-13
Championship
Arbroath Arbroath
Dunfermline Dunfermline
0
▸ 5
0
2
W
2025-09-19
Championship
St. Johnstone FC St. Johnstone FC
Dunfermline Dunfermline
2
1
0
1
L
Goals per match: 2.67
Goals 1st time: 1.33
Goals 2nd time: 1.33
Ayr United
Ayr United
Recent matches: 4
Latest form:
bad
All competitions · season 2025
2025-08-09
Championship
Ayr United Ayr United
Raith Rovers Raith Rovers
0
1
0
1
L
2025-08-23
Championship
Morton Morton
Ayr United Ayr United
2
2
1
0
D
2025-08-30
Championship
Ayr United Ayr United
Queen's Park Queen's Park
1
1
0
1
D
2025-09-13
Championship
Ayr United Ayr United
Ross County Ross County
1
1
1
0
D
Goals per match: 2.25
Goals 1st time: 1
Goals 2nd time: 1.25
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