EN
Match statistics: York City - Carlisle United
England / National League - Round 11
18:45, September 23, 2025
York City
5
:
0
First half 3:0
Carlisle United
Match finished
1
1.9
X
3.4
2
3.55
Math prediction: 1X — 1.22
4'
M. Fagan-Walcott
(O. Pearce)
T. Thomas
29'
G. Breeze
39'
39'
O. Pearce
(penalty)
44'
O. Pearce
(H. Boateng)
49'
A. Newby
(J. Grey)
51'
J. Grey
A. Gilliead
60'
65'
A. Hunt
70'
B. Brookes
86'
J. Stones
90+4'
J. Stones
C. Whelan
90+1'
M. Feeney
90+2'
Match prediction York City - Carlisle United
Match outcome
York City
York City
win or draw
Goals / Match
2.8
Total Over 2.5
50%
Total Under 3.5
65%
Home goals prediction
York City
York City
expected 1 - 2 goals
Away goals prediction
Carlisle United
Carlisle United
expected 1 - 2 goals
Tournament chart
York City York City
Carlisle United Carlisle United
York City York City   power × 1.08 times greater   52%
York City York City   better at attack   55%
Carlisle United Carlisle United   better at defence   63%
Team comparison
York City York City
Carlisle United Carlisle United
Recent form
45%
55%
H2H strength
67%
33%
Goal realization
67%
33%
Poisson distribution [1]
40%
60%
Team power
52%
48.2%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: National League - Round 11
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
2
Carlisle United Carlisle United
10
7
2
1
23
76.67%
21:7
+14
W
W
W
W
L
2.8
2.1
0.7
80%
50%
20%
8
York City York City
8
4
3
1
15
62.5%
15:7
+8
L
W
W
W
D
2.75
1.88
0.88
75%
50%
50%
York City
Points and results
Segment table:
2
All games
8
games
4
wins
50%
3
draws
38%
1
losses
13%
1.88
Points per game
15 (62.5%)
Total points
Home games
3
games
1
wins
33%
1
draws
33%
1
losses
33%
1.33
Points per game
4 (44.44%)
Total points
Carlisle United
Points and results
Segment table:
1
All games
10
games
7
wins
70%
2
draws
20%
1
losses
10%
2.3
Points per game
23 (76.67%)
Total points
Away games
5
games
4
wins
80%
0
draws
0%
1
losses
20%
2.4
Points per game
12 (80%)
Total points
York City
York City
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
good
All competitions · season 2025
2025-08-20
National League
Southend United Southend United
York City York City
0
0
0
0
D
2025-08-25
National League
Woking Woking
York City York City
1
1
1
0
D
2025-09-06
National League
Yeovil Town Yeovil Town
York City York City
1
▸ 3
0
2
W
2025-09-09
National League
York City York City
Tamworth Tamworth
▸ 4
0
0
0
W
2025-09-13
National League
Braintree Town Braintree Town
York City York City
2
▸ 3
1
0
W
2025-09-20
National League
York City York City
Solihull Moors Solihull Moors
0
1
0
0
L
Goals per match: 2.67
Goals 1st time: 0.67
Goals 2nd time: 2
Carlisle United
Carlisle United
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
very good
All competitions · season 2025
2025-08-25
National League
Carlisle United Carlisle United
Braintree Town Braintree Town
▸ 5
0
2
0
W
2025-08-30
National League
Sutton United Sutton United
Carlisle United Carlisle United
2
1
0
0
L
2025-09-03
National League
Brackley Town Brackley Town
Carlisle United Carlisle United
0
▸ 1
0
0
W
2025-09-06
National League
Carlisle United Carlisle United
Truro City Truro City
▸ 3
0
2
0
W
2025-09-13
National League
Carlisle United Carlisle United
Aldershot Town Aldershot Town
▸ 2
0
0
0
W
2025-09-20
National League
Altrincham Altrincham
Carlisle United Carlisle United
1
▸ 2
1
2
W
Goals per match: 2.83
Goals 1st time: 1.17
Goals 2nd time: 1.67
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