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Match statistics: Machida Zelvia - Fagiano Okayama
Japan / J1 League - Round 32
07:00, September 27, 2025
Machida Zelvia
1
:
0
First half 0:0
Fagiano Okayama
Match finished
1
1.6
X
3.7
2
5.5
Math prediction: 1X — 1.14
Y. Suzuki
49'
90+5'
G. Shoji
(Oh Se-Hun)
Match prediction Machida Zelvia - Fagiano Okayama
Match outcome
Machida Zelvia
Machida Zelvia
win or draw
Goals / Match
2.3
Total Over 2.5
44%
Total Under 3.5
83%
Home goals prediction
Machida Zelvia
Machida Zelvia
expected 1 - 2 goals
Away goals prediction
Fagiano Okayama
Fagiano Okayama
expected 0 - 1 goal
Tournament chart
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia
Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia   power × 1.65 times greater   62.2%
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia   better at attack   73%
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia   better at defence   56%
Team comparison
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia
Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama
Recent form
60%
40%
H2H strength
62%
38%
Goal realization
56%
44%
Poisson distribution [1]
66%
34%
Team power
62.2%
37.8%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: J1 League - Round 32
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
5
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia
31
15
7
9
52
55.91%
47:33
+14
D
D
L
D
W
2.58
1.52
1.06
71%
55%
23%
12
Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama
31
11
7
13
40
43.01%
28:33
-5
D
L
L
L
W
1.97
0.9
1.06
55%
32%
10%
Machida Zelvia
Points and results
Segment table:
1
All games
31
games
15
wins
48%
7
draws
23%
9
losses
29%
1.68
Points per game
52 (55.91%)
Total points
Home games
15
games
7
wins
47%
2
draws
13%
6
losses
40%
1.53
Points per game
23 (51.11%)
Total points
Fagiano Okayama
Points and results
Segment table:
2
All games
31
games
11
wins
35%
7
draws
23%
13
losses
42%
1.29
Points per game
40 (43.01%)
Total points
Away games
14
games
4
wins
29%
3
draws
21%
7
losses
50%
1.07
Points per game
15 (35.71%)
Total points
Machida Zelvia
Machida Zelvia
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
normal
All competitions · season 2025
2025-08-16
J1 League
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia
Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka
▸ 3
0
2
0
W
2025-08-20
J1 League
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia
Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka
▸ 3
1
1
0
W
2025-08-23
J1 League
Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia
0
0
0
0
D
2025-08-31
J1 League
Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia
5
3
2
2
L
2025-09-12
J1 League
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia
Yokohama FC Yokohama FC
1
1
0
0
D
2025-09-23
J1 League
Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia
1
1
0
1
D
Goals per match: 3.17
Goals 1st time: 1.33
Goals 2nd time: 1.83
Fagiano Okayama
Fagiano Okayama
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
normal
All competitions · season 2025
2025-08-17
J1 League
Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama
Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol
▸ 2
1
1
0
W
2025-08-23
J1 League
Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama
Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare
▸ 1
0
0
0
W
2025-08-30
J1 League
Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga
Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama
5
0
3
0
L
2025-09-13
J1 League
Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus
0
1
0
0
L
2025-09-20
J1 League
Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy
Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama
4
2
2
2
L
2025-09-23
J1 League
Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama
Yokohama FC Yokohama FC
0
0
0
0
D
Goals per match: 2.67
Goals 1st time: 1.33
Goals 2nd time: 1.33
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