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Match statistics: AC Milan - Napoli
Italy / Serie A - Round 5
18:45, September 28, 2025
AC Milan
2
:
1
First half 2:0
Napoli
Match finished
1
2.36
X
3.15
2
3.15
Math prediction: X2 — 1.57
3'
A. Saelemaekers
(C. Pulisic)
31'
C. Pulisic
(Y. Fofana)
57'
P. Estupinan
(penalty)
K. De Bruyne
60'
90'
A. Rabiot
Match prediction AC Milan - Napoli
Match outcome
Napoli
Napoli
win or draw
Goals / Match
2.6
Total Over 2.5
50%
Total Under 3.5
75%
Home goals prediction
AC Milan
AC Milan
expected 1 - 2 goals
Away goals prediction
Napoli
Napoli
expected 2 - 3 goals
Tournament chart
AC Milan AC Milan
Napoli Napoli
Napoli Napoli   power × 1.48 times greater   59.7%
Napoli Napoli   better at attack   56%
AC Milan AC Milan   better at defence   60%
Team comparison
AC Milan AC Milan
Napoli Napoli
Recent form
43%
57%
H2H strength
38%
62%
Goal realization
42%
58%
Poisson distribution [1]
15%
85%
Team power
40.3%
59.7%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: Serie A - Round 5
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
1
Napoli Napoli
4
4
0
0
12
100%
9:3
+6
W
W
W
W
3
2.25
0.75
75%
50%
50%
3
AC Milan AC Milan
4
3
0
1
9
75%
7:2
+5
W
W
W
L
2.25
1.75
0.5
75%
50%
0%
AC Milan
Points and results
Segment table:
2
All games
4
games
3
wins
75%
0
draws
0%
1
losses
25%
2.25
Points per game
9 (75%)
Total points
Home games
2
games
1
wins
50%
0
draws
0%
1
losses
50%
1.5
Points per game
3 (50%)
Total points
Napoli
Points and results
Segment table:
1
All games
4
games
4
wins
100%
0
draws
0%
0
losses
0%
3
Points per game
12 (100%)
Total points
Away games
2
games
2
wins
100%
0
draws
0%
0
losses
0%
3
Points per game
6 (100%)
Total points
AC Milan
AC Milan
Recent matches: 4
Latest form:
good
All competitions · season 2025
2025-08-23
Serie A
AC Milan AC Milan
Cremonese Cremonese
1
2
1
1
L
2025-08-29
Serie A
Lecce Lecce
AC Milan AC Milan
0
▸ 2
0
0
W
2025-09-14
Serie A
AC Milan AC Milan
Bologna Bologna
▸ 1
0
0
0
W
2025-09-20
Serie A
Udinese Udinese
AC Milan AC Milan
0
▸ 3
0
1
W
Goals per match: 2.25
Goals 1st time: 0.75
Goals 2nd time: 1.5
Napoli
Napoli
Recent matches: 5
Latest form:
good
All competitions · season 2025
2025-08-23
Serie A
Sassuolo Sassuolo
Napoli Napoli
0
▸ 2
0
1
W
2025-08-30
Serie A
Napoli Napoli
Cagliari Cagliari
▸ 1
0
0
0
W
2025-09-13
Serie A
Fiorentina Fiorentina
Napoli Napoli
1
▸ 3
0
2
W
2025-09-18
UEFA Champions League
Manchester City Manchester City
Napoli Napoli
2
0
0
0
L
2025-09-22
Serie A
Napoli Napoli
Pisa Pisa
▸ 3
2
1
0
W
Goals per match: 2.8
Goals 1st time: 0.8
Goals 2nd time: 2
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