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Match statistics: Albirex Niigata - Fagiano Okayama
Japan / J1 League - Round 33
05:00, October 04, 2025
Albirex Niigata
1
:
1
First half 0:1
Fagiano Okayama
Match finished
1
2.6
X
3.1
2
2.8
Math prediction: X2 — 1.48
(H. Motoyama)
K. Ichimi
24'
47'
F. Hayakawa
67'
E. Shirai
(J. Okumura)
E. Miyamoto
83'
90+3'
K. Hashimoto
Match prediction Albirex Niigata - Fagiano Okayama
Match outcome
Fagiano Okayama
Fagiano Okayama
win or draw
Goals / Match
2.3
Total Over 2.5
41%
Total Under 3.5
81%
Home goals prediction
Albirex Niigata
Albirex Niigata
expected 0 - 1 goal
Away goals prediction
Fagiano Okayama
Fagiano Okayama
expected 0 - 1 goal
Tournament chart
Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata
Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama
Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama   power × 1.28 times greater   56.2%
Teams even at power
Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata   better at defence   61%
Team comparison
Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata
Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama
Recent form
50%
50%
H2H strength
15%
85%
Goal realization
38%
62%
Poisson distribution [1]
49%
51%
Team power
43.8%
56.2%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: J1 League - Round 33
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
12
Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama
32
11
7
14
40
41.67%
28:34
-6
L
D
L
L
L
1.94
0.88
1.06
53%
31%
9%
20
Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata
32
4
9
19
21
21.88%
29:54
-25
L
D
L
L
L
2.59
0.91
1.69
69%
50%
28%
Albirex Niigata
Points and results
Segment table:
4
All games
32
games
4
wins
13%
9
draws
28%
19
losses
59%
0.66
Points per game
21 (21.88%)
Total points
Home games
16
games
2
wins
13%
7
draws
44%
7
losses
44%
0.81
Points per game
13 (27.08%)
Total points
Fagiano Okayama
Points and results
Segment table:
2
All games
32
games
11
wins
34%
7
draws
22%
14
losses
44%
1.25
Points per game
40 (41.67%)
Total points
Away games
15
games
4
wins
27%
3
draws
20%
8
losses
53%
1
Points per game
15 (33.33%)
Total points
Albirex Niigata
Albirex Niigata
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
very bad
All competitions · season 2025
2025-08-23
J1 League
Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata
Kashima Kashima
1
2
1
1
L
2025-08-31
J1 League
Urawa Urawa
Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata
1
0
1
0
L
2025-09-13
J1 League
Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata
Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse
0
1
0
1
L
2025-09-20
J1 League
Yokohama FC Yokohama FC
Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata
1
0
0
0
L
2025-09-23
J1 League
Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus
0
0
0
0
D
2025-09-27
J1 League
Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka
Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata
4
2
1
1
L
Goals per match: 2
Goals 1st time: 1
Goals 2nd time: 1
Fagiano Okayama
Fagiano Okayama
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
bad
All competitions · season 2025
2025-08-23
J1 League
Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama
Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare
▸ 1
0
0
0
W
2025-08-30
J1 League
Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga
Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama
5
0
3
0
L
2025-09-13
J1 League
Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus
0
1
0
0
L
2025-09-20
J1 League
Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy
Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama
4
2
2
2
L
2025-09-23
J1 League
Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama
Yokohama FC Yokohama FC
0
0
0
0
D
2025-09-27
J1 League
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia
Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama
1
0
0
0
L
Goals per match: 2.33
Goals 1st time: 1.17
Goals 2nd time: 1.17
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