EN
Match statistics: Derby County - Southampton
England / Championship - Round 9
14:00, October 04, 2025
Derby County
1
:
1
First half 1:1
Southampton
Match finished
1
3.45
X
3.3
2
2.14
Math prediction: X2 — 1.3
A. Armstrong
7'
R. Stewart
15'
22'
C. Forsyth
32'
L. Travis
33'
M. Johnston
40'
P. Agyemang
(A. Weimann)
62'
A. Weimann
F. Downes
85'
Match prediction Derby County - Southampton
Match outcome
Southampton
Southampton
win or draw
Goals / Match
2.8
Total Over 2.5
51%
Total Under 3.5
68%
Home goals prediction
Derby County
Derby County
expected 1 - 2 goals
Away goals prediction
Southampton
Southampton
expected 1 - 2 goals
Tournament chart
Derby County Derby County
Southampton Southampton
Southampton Southampton   power × 1.26 times greater   55.8%
Southampton Southampton   better at attack   55%
Derby County Derby County   better at defence   58%
Team comparison
Derby County Derby County
Southampton Southampton
Recent form
50%
50%
H2H strength
33%
67%
Goal realization
36%
64%
Poisson distribution [1]
43%
57%
Team power
44.2%
55.8%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: Championship - Round 9
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
14
Southampton Southampton
8
2
4
2
10
41.67%
10:11
-1
W
D
L
D
D
2.63
1.25
1.38
88%
63%
25%
20
Derby County Derby County
8
1
4
3
7
29.17%
10:14
-4
D
D
L
W
D
3
1.25
1.75
75%
38%
38%
Derby County
Points and results
Segment table:
4
All games
8
games
1
wins
13%
4
draws
50%
3
losses
38%
0.88
Points per game
7 (29.17%)
Total points
Home games
4
games
0
wins
0%
2
draws
50%
2
losses
50%
0.5
Points per game
2 (16.67%)
Total points
Southampton
Points and results
Segment table:
3
All games
8
games
2
wins
25%
4
draws
50%
2
losses
25%
1.25
Points per game
10 (41.67%)
Total points
Away games
4
games
1
wins
25%
2
draws
50%
1
losses
25%
1.25
Points per game
5 (41.67%)
Total points
Derby County
Derby County
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
normal
All competitions · season 2025
2025-08-22
Championship
Derby County Derby County
Bristol City Bristol City
1
1
0
1
D
2025-08-30
Championship
Ipswich Town Ipswich Town
Derby County Derby County
2
2
1
0
D
2025-09-13
Championship
West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion
Derby County Derby County
0
▸ 1
0
0
W
2025-09-20
Championship
Derby County Derby County
Preston North End Preston North End
0
1
0
1
L
2025-09-27
Championship
Wrexham Wrexham
Derby County Derby County
1
1
0
0
D
2025-09-30
Championship
Derby County Derby County
Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic
1
1
0
1
D
Goals per match: 2
Goals 1st time: 0.67
Goals 2nd time: 1.33
Southampton
Southampton
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
bad
All competitions · season 2025
2025-08-23
Championship
Southampton Southampton
Stoke City Stoke City
1
2
0
0
L
2025-08-30
Championship
Watford Watford
Southampton Southampton
2
2
0
1
D
2025-09-14
Championship
Southampton Southampton
Portsmouth Portsmouth
0
0
0
0
D
2025-09-20
Championship
Hull City Hull City
Southampton Southampton
3
1
1
0
L
2025-09-27
Championship
Southampton Southampton
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
1
1
0
0
D
2025-09-30
Championship
Sheffield United Sheffield United
Southampton Southampton
1
▸ 2
1
0
W
Goals per match: 2.67
Goals 1st time: 0.5
Goals 2nd time: 2.17
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