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Match statistics: Real Madrid - Villarreal
Spain / La Liga - Round 8
19:00, October 04, 2025
Real Madrid
3
:
1
First half 0:0
Villarreal
Match finished
1
1.45
X
5
2
6
Math prediction: 1X — 1.12
S. Cardona
12'
S. Mourino
21'
33'
A. Tchouameni
45+1'
F. Mastantuono
47'
Vinicius Junior
(K. Mbappe)
P. Gueye
69'
69'
Vinicius Junior
(penalty)
(P. Gueye)
G. Mikautadze
73'
S. Mourino
77'
S. Mourino
77'
81'
K. Mbappe
(B. Diaz)
Match prediction Real Madrid - Villarreal
Match outcome
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
win or draw
Goals / Match
3
Total Over 2.5
57%
Total Under 3.5
78%
Home goals prediction
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
expected 1 - 2 goals
Away goals prediction
Villarreal
Villarreal
expected 0 - 1 goal
Tournament chart
Real Madrid Real Madrid
Villarreal Villarreal
Real Madrid Real Madrid   power × 1.67 times greater   62.5%
Real Madrid Real Madrid   better at attack   67%
Villarreal Villarreal   better at defence   62%
Team comparison
Real Madrid Real Madrid
Villarreal Villarreal
Recent form
55%
45%
H2H strength
71%
29%
Goal realization
61%
39%
Poisson distribution [1]
83%
17%
Team power
62.5%
37.5%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: La Liga - Round 8
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
2
Real Madrid Real Madrid
7
6
0
1
18
85.71%
16:8
+8
L
W
W
W
W
3.43
2.29
1.14
86%
71%
29%
3
Villarreal Villarreal
7
5
1
1
16
76.19%
13:5
+8
W
W
W
L
D
2.57
1.86
0.71
86%
43%
14%
Real Madrid
Points and results
Segment table:
1
All games
7
games
6
wins
86%
0
draws
0%
1
losses
14%
2.57
Points per game
18 (85.71%)
Total points
Home games
3
games
3
wins
100%
0
draws
0%
0
losses
0%
3
Points per game
9 (100%)
Total points
Villarreal
Points and results
Segment table:
1
All games
7
games
5
wins
71%
1
draws
14%
1
losses
14%
2.29
Points per game
16 (76.19%)
Total points
Away games
3
games
1
wins
33%
1
draws
33%
1
losses
33%
1.33
Points per game
4 (44.44%)
Total points
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
very good
All competitions · season 2025
2025-09-13
La Liga
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad
Real Madrid Real Madrid
1
▸ 2
0
2
W
2025-09-16
UEFA Champions League
Real Madrid Real Madrid
Marseille Marseille
▸ 2
1
1
1
W
2025-09-20
La Liga
Real Madrid Real Madrid
Espanyol Espanyol
▸ 2
0
1
0
W
2025-09-23
La Liga
Levante Levante
Real Madrid Real Madrid
1
▸ 4
0
2
W
2025-09-27
La Liga
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid Real Madrid
5
2
2
2
L
2025-09-30
UEFA Champions League
Kairat Almaty Kairat Almaty
Real Madrid Real Madrid
0
▸ 5
0
1
W
Goals per match: 4.17
Goals 1st time: 2
Goals 2nd time: 2.17
Villarreal
Villarreal
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
normal
All competitions · season 2025
2025-09-13
La Liga
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
Villarreal Villarreal
2
0
1
0
L
2025-09-16
UEFA Champions League
Tottenham Hotspur Tottenham Hotspur
Villarreal Villarreal
1
0
1
0
L
2025-09-20
La Liga
Villarreal Villarreal
Osasuna Osasuna
▸ 2
1
0
1
W
2025-09-23
La Liga
Sevilla Sevilla
Villarreal Villarreal
1
▸ 2
0
1
W
2025-09-27
La Liga
Villarreal Villarreal
Athletic Club Athletic Club
▸ 1
0
0
0
W
2025-10-01
UEFA Champions League
Villarreal Villarreal
Juventus Juventus
2
2
1
0
D
Goals per match: 2.33
Goals 1st time: 0.83
Goals 2nd time: 1.5
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