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Match statistics: Gremio - Sao Paulo
Brazil / Serie A - Round 28
22:00, October 16, 2025
Gremio
2
:
0
First half 1:0
Sao Paulo
Match finished
1
2.94
X
3
2
2.58
Math prediction: X2 — 1.4
G. Tapia
21'
39'
Carlos Vinicius
56'
Carlos Vinicius
(penalty)
Mailton
64'
Luciano
75'
90+4'
Dodi
Match prediction Gremio - Sao Paulo
Match outcome
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
win or draw
Goals / Match
2.2
Total Over 2.5
34%
Total Under 3.5
79%
Home goals prediction
Gremio
Gremio
expected 1 - 2 goals
Away goals prediction
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
expected 0 - 1 goal
Tournament chart
Gremio Gremio
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo   power × 1.07 times greater   51.7%
Gremio Gremio   better at attack   62%
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo   better at defence   55%
Team comparison
Gremio Gremio
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
Recent form
57%
43%
H2H strength
40%
60%
Goal realization
38%
62%
Poisson distribution [1]
48%
52%
Team power
48.3%
51.7%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: Serie A - Round 28
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
8
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
27
10
8
9
38
46.91%
31:28
+3
L
W
L
L
W
2.19
1.15
1.04
67%
37%
22%
13
Gremio Gremio
27
8
9
10
33
40.74%
28:33
-5
L
D
W
D
W
2.26
1.04
1.22
70%
30%
19%
Gremio
Points and results
Segment table:
3
All games
27
games
8
wins
30%
9
draws
33%
10
losses
37%
1.22
Points per game
33 (40.74%)
Total points
Home games
13
games
5
wins
38%
5
draws
38%
3
losses
23%
1.54
Points per game
20 (51.28%)
Total points
Sao Paulo
Points and results
Segment table:
2
All games
27
games
10
wins
37%
8
draws
30%
9
losses
33%
1.41
Points per game
38 (46.91%)
Total points
Away games
13
games
3
wins
23%
5
draws
38%
5
losses
38%
1.08
Points per game
14 (35.9%)
Total points
Gremio
Gremio
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
normal
All competitions · season 2025
2025-09-13
Serie A
Gremio Gremio
Mirassol Mirassol
0
1
0
1
L
2025-09-21
Serie A
Internacional Internacional
Gremio Gremio
2
▸ 3
2
2
W
2025-09-24
Serie A
Gremio Gremio
Botafogo Botafogo
1
1
0
0
D
2025-09-28
Serie A
Gremio Gremio
Vitoria Vitoria
▸ 3
1
1
0
W
2025-10-02
Serie A
Santos Santos
Gremio Gremio
1
1
0
0
D
2025-10-04
Serie A
Red Bull Bragantino Red Bull Bragantino
Gremio Gremio
1
0
0
0
L
Goals per match: 2.5
Goals 1st time: 1
Goals 2nd time: 1.5
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
bad
All competitions · season 2025
2025-08-31
Serie A
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
1
0
0
0
L
2025-09-14
Serie A
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
Botafogo Botafogo
▸ 1
0
1
0
W
2025-09-21
Serie A
Santos Santos
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
1
0
0
0
L
2025-09-29
Serie A
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
Ceara Ceara
0
1
0
0
L
2025-10-02
Serie A
Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
0
▸ 2
0
1
W
2025-10-05
Serie A
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
Palmeiras Palmeiras
2
3
2
0
L
Goals per match: 1.83
Goals 1st time: 0.67
Goals 2nd time: 1.17
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