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Match statistics: Vitoria - Bahia
Brazil / Serie A - Round 28
00:30, October 17, 2025
Vitoria
2
:
1
First half 1:1
Bahia
Match finished
1
2.7
X
2.88
2
2.92
Math prediction: X2 — 1.45
26'
Renato Kayzer
(penalty)
37'
Renato Kayzer
(Nicolas Acevedo)
Tiago
41'
Ademir
45+4'
45+1'
Camutanga
45+2'
Ronald Lopes
46'
Erick
64'
R. Caceres
Cauly
75'
90'
Baralhas
90+7'
Dudu
90+6'
Dudu
90+7'
Dudu
Match prediction Vitoria - Bahia
Match outcome
Bahia
Bahia
win or draw
Goals / Match
2.5
Total Over 2.5
46%
Total Under 3.5
79%
Home goals prediction
Vitoria
Vitoria
expected 1 - 2 goals
Away goals prediction
Bahia
Bahia
expected 1 - 2 goals
Tournament chart
Vitoria Vitoria
Bahia Bahia
Bahia Bahia   power × 1.88 times greater   65.3%
Teams even at power
Bahia Bahia   better at defence   63%
Team comparison
Vitoria Vitoria
Bahia Bahia
Recent form
30%
70%
H2H strength
15%
85%
Goal realization
22%
78%
Poisson distribution [1]
54%
46%
Team power
34.8%
65.3%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: Serie A - Round 28
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
6
Bahia Bahia
26
12
7
7
43
55.13%
34:30
+4
W
L
W
L
D
2.46
1.31
1.15
69%
50%
15%
17
Vitoria Vitoria
27
5
10
12
25
30.86%
24:42
-18
L
W
L
L
L
2.44
0.89
1.56
63%
41%
26%
Vitoria
Points and results
Segment table:
3
All games
27
games
5
wins
19%
10
draws
37%
12
losses
44%
0.93
Points per game
25 (30.86%)
Total points
Home games
13
games
5
wins
38%
5
draws
38%
3
losses
23%
1.54
Points per game
20 (51.28%)
Total points
Bahia
Points and results
Segment table:
2
All games
26
games
12
wins
46%
7
draws
27%
7
losses
27%
1.65
Points per game
43 (55.13%)
Total points
Away games
13
games
3
wins
23%
4
draws
31%
6
losses
46%
1
Points per game
13 (33.33%)
Total points
Vitoria
Vitoria
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
bad
All competitions · season 2025
2025-08-31
Serie A
Vitoria Vitoria
Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro
▸ 1
0
1
0
W
2025-09-13
Serie A
Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC
Vitoria Vitoria
2
0
1
0
L
2025-09-20
Serie A
Vitoria Vitoria
Fluminense Fluminense
0
1
0
1
L
2025-09-28
Serie A
Gremio Gremio
Vitoria Vitoria
3
1
1
0
L
2025-10-02
Serie A
Vitoria Vitoria
Ceara Ceara
▸ 1
0
1
0
W
2025-10-05
Serie A
Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama
Vitoria Vitoria
4
3
1
2
L
Goals per match: 2.67
Goals 1st time: 1.33
Goals 2nd time: 1.33
Bahia
Bahia
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
normal
All competitions · season 2025
2025-09-15
Serie A
Bahia Bahia
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
1
2
0
0
L
2025-09-20
Serie A
Ceara Ceara
Bahia Bahia
1
1
1
0
D
2025-09-24
Serie A
Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama
Bahia Bahia
3
1
1
1
L
2025-09-28
Serie A
Bahia Bahia
Palmeiras Palmeiras
▸ 1
0
0
0
W
2025-10-02
Serie A
Botafogo Botafogo
Bahia Bahia
2
1
1
0
L
2025-10-05
Serie A
Bahia Bahia
Flamengo Flamengo
▸ 1
0
1
0
W
Goals per match: 2.33
Goals 1st time: 0.83
Goals 2nd time: 1.5
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