EN
Match statistics: Estrela - Nacional
Portugal / Primeira Liga - Round 11
15:30, November 09, 2025
Estrela
1
:
1
First half 0:1
Nacional
Match finished
1
2.8
X
3.1
2
2.62
Math prediction: 1X — 1.48
22'
G. Montoia
26'
Bernardo Schappo
(Liziero)
Jose Gomes
40'
Leo Santos
45+4'
62'
S. Cabral
(penalty)
74'
A. Chernev
Watts
87'
C. Labidi
90+2'
C. Goncalves
90+7'
Match prediction Estrela - Nacional
Match outcome
Estrela
Estrela
win or draw
Goals / Match
2.5
Total Over 2.5
35%
Total Under 3.5
80%
Home goals prediction
Estrela
Estrela
expected 1 - 2 goals
Away goals prediction
Nacional
Nacional
expected 1 - 2 goals
Tournament chart
Estrela Estrela
Nacional Nacional
Estrela Estrela   power × 1.31 times greater   56.7%
Estrela Estrela   better at attack   60%
Nacional Nacional   better at defence   54%
Team comparison
Estrela Estrela
Nacional Nacional
Recent form
50%
50%
H2H strength
71%
29%
Goal realization
80%
20%
Poisson distribution [1]
33%
67%
Team power
56.7%
43.3%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: Primeira Liga - Round 11
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
10
Nacional Nacional
10
3
2
5
11
36.67%
10:14
-4
L
D
W
W
L
2.4
1
1.4
70%
30%
20%
13
Estrela Estrela
10
2
4
4
10
33.33%
12:13
-1
W
L
L
W
D
2.5
1.2
1.3
70%
40%
20%
Estrela
Points and results
Segment table:
4
All games
10
games
2
wins
20%
4
draws
40%
4
losses
40%
1
Points per game
10 (33.33%)
Total points
Home games
5
games
1
wins
20%
1
draws
20%
3
losses
60%
0.8
Points per game
4 (26.67%)
Total points
Nacional
Points and results
Segment table:
4
All games
10
games
3
wins
30%
2
draws
20%
5
losses
50%
1.1
Points per game
11 (36.67%)
Total points
Away games
5
games
2
wins
40%
2
draws
40%
1
losses
20%
1.6
Points per game
8 (53.33%)
Total points
Estrela
Estrela
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
normal
All competitions · season 2025
2025-09-14
Primeira Liga
Estrela Estrela
Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes
0
2
0
1
L
2025-09-21
Primeira Liga
Tondela Tondela
Estrela Estrela
0
0
0
0
D
2025-09-27
Primeira Liga
Estrela Estrela
AVS Futebol SAD AVS Futebol SAD
▸ 3
0
3
0
W
2025-10-04
Primeira Liga
Gil Vicente Gil Vicente
Estrela Estrela
2
0
2
0
L
2025-10-25
Primeira Liga
Estrela Estrela
Rio Ave Rio Ave
1
2
1
0
L
2025-11-01
Primeira Liga
Casa Pia Casa Pia
Estrela Estrela
3
▸ 5
1
2
W
Goals per match: 3
Goals 1st time: 1.67
Goals 2nd time: 1.33
Nacional
Nacional
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
normal
All competitions · season 2025
2025-09-13
Primeira Liga
FC Porto FC Porto
Nacional Nacional
1
0
1
0
L
2025-09-20
Primeira Liga
Nacional Nacional
Arouca Arouca
1
2
0
0
L
2025-09-28
Primeira Liga
SC Braga SC Braga
Nacional Nacional
0
▸ 1
0
1
W
2025-10-04
Primeira Liga
Nacional Nacional
Moreirense Moreirense
▸ 3
2
1
1
W
2025-10-26
Primeira Liga
Estoril Estoril
Nacional Nacional
1
1
0
1
D
2025-11-01
Primeira Liga
Nacional Nacional
Famalicao Famalicao
0
1
0
1
L
Goals per match: 2.17
Goals 1st time: 1
Goals 2nd time: 1.17
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