EN
Match statistics: Derby County - Watford
England / Championship - Round 16
15:00, November 22, 2025
Derby County
2
:
3
First half 1:0
Watford
Match finished
1
2.62
X
3.1
2
2.8
Math prediction: 1X — 1.42
36'
D. Sanderson
39'
D. Sanderson
54'
S. Langas
(J. Ward)
58'
B. Brereton Diaz
(J. Ngakia)
L. Kjerrumgaard
61'
E. Kayembe
68'
(penalty)
E. Kayembe
85'
(I. Louza)
E. Kayembe
88'
Match prediction Derby County - Watford
Match outcome
Derby County
Derby County
win or draw
Goals / Match
2.5
Total Over 2.5
47%
Total Under 3.5
76%
Home goals prediction
Derby County
Derby County
expected 1 - 2 goals
Away goals prediction
Watford
Watford
expected 1 - 2 goals
Tournament chart
Derby County Derby County
Watford Watford
Watford Watford   power × 1.08 times greater   52%
Derby County Derby County   better at attack   53%
Derby County Derby County   better at defence   67%
Team comparison
Derby County Derby County
Watford Watford
Recent form
65%
35%
H2H strength
7%
93%
Goal realization
31%
69%
Poisson distribution [1]
65%
35%
Team power
48%
52%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: Championship - Round 16
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
10
Derby County Derby County
15
6
5
4
23
51.11%
20:19
+1
W
W
W
W
W
2.6
1.33
1.27
67%
40%
27%
15
Watford Watford
15
5
5
5
20
44.44%
19:18
+1
D
D
W
L
W
2.47
1.27
1.2
73%
53%
20%
Derby County
Points and results
Segment table:
2
All games
15
games
6
wins
40%
5
draws
33%
4
losses
27%
1.53
Points per game
23 (51.11%)
Total points
Home games
8
games
3
wins
38%
3
draws
38%
2
losses
25%
1.5
Points per game
12 (50%)
Total points
Watford
Points and results
Segment table:
3
All games
15
games
5
wins
33%
5
draws
33%
5
losses
33%
1.33
Points per game
20 (44.44%)
Total points
Away games
7
games
0
wins
0%
3
draws
43%
4
losses
57%
0.43
Points per game
3 (14.29%)
Total points
Derby County
Derby County
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
very good
All competitions · season 2025
2025-10-18
Championship
Oxford United Oxford United
Derby County Derby County
1
0
1
0
L
2025-10-21
Championship
Derby County Derby County
Norwich City Norwich City
▸ 1
0
0
0
W
2025-10-25
Championship
Derby County Derby County
Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers
▸ 1
0
1
0
W
2025-11-01
Championship
Sheffield United Sheffield United
Derby County Derby County
1
▸ 3
0
1
W
2025-11-04
Championship
Derby County Derby County
Hull City Hull City
▸ 2
1
1
0
W
2025-11-08
Championship
Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers
Derby County Derby County
1
▸ 2
0
2
W
Goals per match: 2.17
Goals 1st time: 1
Goals 2nd time: 1.17
Watford
Watford
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
normal
All competitions · season 2025
2025-10-18
Championship
Sheffield United Sheffield United
Watford Watford
1
0
0
0
L
2025-10-22
Championship
Watford Watford
West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion
▸ 2
1
1
1
W
2025-10-25
Championship
Coventry Coventry
Watford Watford
3
1
3
0
L
2025-11-01
Championship
Watford Watford
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
▸ 3
0
2
0
W
2025-11-04
Championship
Ipswich Town Ipswich Town
Watford Watford
1
1
1
1
D
2025-11-07
Championship
Watford Watford
Bristol City Bristol City
1
1
1
1
D
Goals per match: 2.5
Goals 1st time: 1.83
Goals 2nd time: 0.67
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