EN
Match statistics: Swansea City - Derby County
England / Championship - Round 17
19:45, November 25, 2025
Swansea City
1
:
2
First half 0:1
Derby County
Match finished
1
2.2
X
3.1
2
3.5
Math prediction: X2 — 1.65
(C. Elder)
J. Ward
34'
L. Salvesen
53'
B. Brereton Diaz
82'
C. Elder
90+4'
90'
E. Galbraith
Match prediction Swansea City - Derby County
Match outcome
Derby County
Derby County
win or draw
Goals / Match
2.5
Total Over 2.5
44%
Total Under 3.5
75%
Home goals prediction
Swansea City
Swansea City
expected 1 - 2 goals
Away goals prediction
Derby County
Derby County
expected 1 - 2 goals
Tournament chart
Swansea City Swansea City
Derby County Derby County
Derby County Derby County   power × 1.05 times greater   51.2%
Derby County Derby County   better at attack   67%
Derby County Derby County   better at defence   65%
Team comparison
Swansea City Swansea City
Derby County Derby County
Recent form
25%
75%
H2H strength
93%
7%
Goal realization
70%
30%
Poisson distribution [1]
37%
63%
Team power
48.8%
51.2%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: Championship - Round 17
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
12
Derby County Derby County
16
6
5
5
23
47.92%
22:22
0
L
W
W
W
W
2.75
1.38
1.38
69%
44%
31%
20
Swansea City Swansea City
16
4
5
7
17
35.42%
15:22
-7
L
L
L
D
W
2.31
0.94
1.38
69%
44%
19%
Swansea City
Points and results
Segment table:
3
All games
16
games
4
wins
25%
5
draws
31%
7
losses
44%
1.06
Points per game
17 (35.42%)
Total points
Home games
8
games
2
wins
25%
3
draws
38%
3
losses
38%
1.13
Points per game
9 (37.5%)
Total points
Derby County
Points and results
Segment table:
2
All games
16
games
6
wins
38%
5
draws
31%
5
losses
31%
1.44
Points per game
23 (47.92%)
Total points
Away games
7
games
3
wins
43%
2
draws
29%
2
losses
29%
1.57
Points per game
11 (52.38%)
Total points
Swansea City
Swansea City
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
bad
All competitions · season 2025
2025-10-22
Championship
Swansea City Swansea City
Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers
0
1
0
1
L
2025-10-25
Championship
Swansea City Swansea City
Norwich City Norwich City
▸ 2
1
1
1
W
2025-11-01
Championship
Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic
Swansea City Swansea City
1
1
0
0
D
2025-11-05
Championship
Preston North End Preston North End
Swansea City Swansea City
2
1
1
0
L
2025-11-08
Championship
Swansea City Swansea City
Ipswich Town Ipswich Town
1
4
0
1
L
2025-11-22
Championship
Bristol City Bristol City
Swansea City Swansea City
3
0
2
0
L
Goals per match: 2.83
Goals 1st time: 1.17
Goals 2nd time: 1.67
Derby County
Derby County
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
very good
All competitions · season 2025
2025-10-21
Championship
Derby County Derby County
Norwich City Norwich City
▸ 1
0
0
0
W
2025-10-25
Championship
Derby County Derby County
Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers
▸ 1
0
1
0
W
2025-11-01
Championship
Sheffield United Sheffield United
Derby County Derby County
1
▸ 3
0
1
W
2025-11-04
Championship
Derby County Derby County
Hull City Hull City
▸ 2
1
1
0
W
2025-11-08
Championship
Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers
Derby County Derby County
1
▸ 2
0
2
W
2025-11-22
Championship
Derby County Derby County
Watford Watford
2
3
1
0
L
Goals per match: 2.83
Goals 1st time: 1
Goals 2nd time: 1.83
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