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Match statistics: Middlesbrough - Derby County
England / Championship - Round 18
15:00, November 29, 2025
Middlesbrough
2
:
1
First half 0:1
Derby County
Match finished
1
1.74
X
3.5
2
4.9
Math prediction: X2 — 2
(L. Salvesen)
P. Agyemang
2'
B. Clark
22'
C. Elder
67'
75'
M. Targett
(H. Hackney)
85'
M. Whittaker
(H. Hackney)
Match prediction Middlesbrough - Derby County
Match outcome
Derby County
Derby County
win or draw
Goals / Match
2.6
Total Over 2.5
47%
Total Under 3.5
79%
Home goals prediction
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
expected 1 - 2 goals
Away goals prediction
Derby County
Derby County
expected 1 - 2 goals
Tournament chart
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
Derby County Derby County
Derby County Derby County   power × 1.26 times greater   55.7%
Derby County Derby County   better at attack   65%
Derby County Derby County   better at defence   59%
Team comparison
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
Derby County Derby County
Recent form
29%
71%
H2H strength
50%
50%
Goal realization
60%
40%
Poisson distribution [1]
51%
49%
Team power
44.3%
55.7%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: Championship - Round 18
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
3
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
17
8
6
3
30
58.82%
22:18
+4
L
D
W
D
L
2.35
1.29
1.06
71%
47%
12%
8
Derby County Derby County
17
7
5
5
26
50.98%
24:23
+1
W
L
W
W
W
2.76
1.41
1.35
71%
47%
29%
Middlesbrough
Points and results
Segment table:
2
All games
17
games
8
wins
47%
6
draws
35%
3
losses
18%
1.76
Points per game
30 (58.82%)
Total points
Home games
8
games
5
wins
63%
2
draws
25%
1
losses
13%
2.13
Points per game
17 (70.83%)
Total points
Derby County
Points and results
Segment table:
2
All games
17
games
7
wins
41%
5
draws
29%
5
losses
29%
1.53
Points per game
26 (50.98%)
Total points
Away games
8
games
4
wins
50%
2
draws
25%
2
losses
25%
1.75
Points per game
14 (58.33%)
Total points
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
bad
All competitions · season 2025
2025-10-25
Championship
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
Wrexham Wrexham
1
1
0
1
D
2025-11-01
Championship
Watford Watford
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
3
0
2
0
L
2025-11-04
Championship
Leicester City Leicester City
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
1
1
1
0
D
2025-11-08
Championship
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
Birmingham City Birmingham City
▸ 2
1
2
1
W
2025-11-22
Championship
Oxford United Oxford United
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
1
1
1
0
D
2025-11-25
Championship
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
Coventry Coventry
2
4
1
2
L
Goals per match: 3
Goals 1st time: 1.83
Goals 2nd time: 1.17
Derby County
Derby County
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
very good
All competitions · season 2025
2025-10-25
Championship
Derby County Derby County
Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers
▸ 1
0
1
0
W
2025-11-01
Championship
Sheffield United Sheffield United
Derby County Derby County
1
▸ 3
0
1
W
2025-11-04
Championship
Derby County Derby County
Hull City Hull City
▸ 2
1
1
0
W
2025-11-08
Championship
Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers
Derby County Derby County
1
▸ 2
0
2
W
2025-11-22
Championship
Derby County Derby County
Watford Watford
2
3
1
0
L
2025-11-25
Championship
Swansea City Swansea City
Derby County Derby County
1
▸ 2
0
1
W
Goals per match: 3.17
Goals 1st time: 1.17
Goals 2nd time: 2
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