EN
Match statistics: Lille - Marseille
France / Ligue 1 - Round 15
20:00, December 05, 2025
Lille
1
:
0
First half 1:0
Marseille
Match finished
1
2.58
X
3.5
2
2.58
Math prediction: 1X — 1.48
10'
E. Mbappe
(N. Bentaleb)
A. Vermeeren
26'
90+1'
B. Ozer
Match prediction Lille - Marseille
Match outcome
Lille
Lille
win or draw
Goals / Match
3.4
Total Over 2.5
57%
Total Under 3.5
64%
Home goals prediction
Lille
Lille
expected 1 - 2 goals
Away goals prediction
Marseille
Marseille
expected 1 - 2 goals
Tournament chart
Lille Lille
Marseille Marseille
Marseille Marseille   power × 1.05 times greater   51.3%
Marseille Marseille   better at attack   68%
Marseille Marseille   better at defence   55%
Team comparison
Lille Lille
Marseille Marseille
Recent form
45%
55%
H2H strength
64%
36%
Goal realization
60%
40%
Poisson distribution [1]
46%
54%
Team power
48.7%
51.3%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: Ligue 1 - Round 15
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
3
Marseille Marseille
14
9
2
3
29
69.05%
35:14
+21
D
W
W
W
D
3.5
2.5
1
71%
71%
43%
4
Lille Lille
14
8
2
4
26
61.9%
28:17
+11
W
W
L
W
L
3.21
2
1.21
71%
43%
29%
Lille
Points and results
Segment table:
1
All games
14
games
8
wins
57%
2
draws
14%
4
losses
29%
1.86
Points per game
26 (61.9%)
Total points
Home games
7
games
5
wins
71%
1
draws
14%
1
losses
14%
2.29
Points per game
16 (76.19%)
Total points
Marseille
Points and results
Segment table:
1
All games
14
games
9
wins
64%
2
draws
14%
3
losses
21%
2.07
Points per game
29 (69.05%)
Total points
Away games
7
games
4
wins
57%
0
draws
0%
3
losses
43%
1.71
Points per game
12 (57.14%)
Total points
Lille
Lille
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
good
All competitions · season 2025
2025-11-02
Ligue 1
Lille Lille
Angers Angers
▸ 1
0
1
0
W
2025-11-06
UEFA Europa League
FK Crvena Zvezda FK Crvena Zvezda
Lille Lille
1
0
0
0
L
2025-11-09
Ligue 1
Strasbourg Strasbourg
Lille Lille
2
0
1
0
L
2025-11-23
Ligue 1
Lille Lille
Paris FC Paris FC
▸ 4
2
1
1
W
2025-11-27
UEFA Europa League
Lille Lille
Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb
▸ 4
0
2
0
W
2025-11-30
Ligue 1
Le Havre Le Havre
Lille Lille
0
▸ 1
0
0
W
Goals per match: 2.5
Goals 1st time: 1
Goals 2nd time: 1.5
Marseille
Marseille
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
good
All competitions · season 2025
2025-11-01
Ligue 1
Auxerre Auxerre
Marseille Marseille
0
▸ 1
0
1
W
2025-11-05
UEFA Champions League
Marseille Marseille
Atalanta Atalanta
0
1
0
0
L
2025-11-08
Ligue 1
Marseille Marseille
Brest Brest
▸ 3
0
2
0
W
2025-11-21
Ligue 1
Nice Nice
Marseille Marseille
1
▸ 5
0
2
W
2025-11-25
UEFA Champions League
Marseille Marseille
Newcastle United Newcastle United
▸ 2
1
0
1
W
2025-11-29
Ligue 1
Marseille Marseille
Toulouse Toulouse
2
2
0
1
D
Goals per match: 3
Goals 1st time: 1.17
Goals 2nd time: 1.83
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