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Match statistics: Mérida AD - Ourense CF
Spain / Primera División RFEF - Group 1 - Round 15
11:00, December 07, 2025
Mérida AD
3
:
2
First half 1:1
Ourense CF
Match finished
1
1.85
X
3.1
2
4.1
Math prediction: 1X — 1.17
20'
L. Pareja
A. Guerrero
24'
52'
66'
A. Garcia
68'
B. Dibrani
71'
E. Verges
M. Prado
74'
75'
(own goal)
A. Csenterics
85'
90+6'
Match prediction Mérida AD - Ourense CF
Match outcome
Mérida AD
Mérida AD
win or draw
Goals / Match
2.5
Total Over 2.5
54%
Total Under 3.5
82%
Home goals prediction
Mérida AD
Mérida AD
expected 1 - 2 goals
Away goals prediction
Ourense CF
Ourense CF
expected 1 - 2 goals
Tournament chart
Mérida AD Mérida AD
Ourense CF Ourense CF
Mérida AD Mérida AD   power × 1.07 times greater   51.8%
Teams even at power
Ourense CF Ourense CF   better at defence   57%
Team comparison
Mérida AD Mérida AD
Ourense CF Ourense CF
Recent form
46%
54%
H2H strength
0%
0%
Goal realization
0%
0%
Poisson distribution [1]
68%
32%
Team power
51.8%
48.3%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: Primera División RFEF - Group 1 - Round 15
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
6
Mérida AD Mérida AD
14
6
3
5
21
50%
20:19
+1
D
W
D
W
W
2.79
1.43
1.36
86%
64%
21%
10
Ourense CF Ourense CF
14
4
6
4
18
42.86%
15:15
0
W
W
W
D
W
2.14
1.07
1.07
64%
43%
14%
Mérida AD
Points and results
Segment table:
2
All games
14
games
6
wins
43%
3
draws
21%
5
losses
36%
1.5
Points per game
21 (50%)
Total points
Home games
7
games
5
wins
71%
1
draws
14%
1
losses
14%
2.29
Points per game
16 (76.19%)
Total points
Ourense CF
Points and results
Segment table:
3
All games
14
games
4
wins
29%
6
draws
43%
4
losses
29%
1.29
Points per game
18 (42.86%)
Total points
Away games
7
games
1
wins
14%
5
draws
71%
1
losses
14%
1.14
Points per game
8 (38.1%)
Total points
Mérida AD
Mérida AD
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
good
All competitions · season 2025
2025-10-24
Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Mérida AD Mérida AD
Ponferradina Ponferradina
0
0
0
0
D
2025-11-01
Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Guadalajara Guadalajara
Mérida AD Mérida AD
0
▸ 2
0
2
W
2025-11-09
Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Mérida AD Mérida AD
Real Madrid II Real Madrid II
▸ 3
0
2
0
W
2025-11-15
Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Pontevedra Pontevedra
Mérida AD Mérida AD
1
1
1
0
D
2025-11-22
Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Mérida AD Mérida AD
Real Avilés Real Avilés
▸ 2
1
1
0
W
2025-11-29
Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol
Mérida AD Mérida AD
2
2
0
0
D
Goals per match: 2.33
Goals 1st time: 1
Goals 2nd time: 1.33
Ourense CF
Ourense CF
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
good
All competitions · season 2025
2025-10-19
Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Ourense CF Ourense CF
Real Madrid II Real Madrid II
1
3
0
0
L
2025-10-25
Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Cacereño Cacereño
Ourense CF Ourense CF
0
0
0
0
D
2025-11-02
Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Ourense CF Ourense CF
Arenas Getxo Arenas Getxo
▸ 1
0
1
0
W
2025-11-16
Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Ourense CF Ourense CF
Guadalajara Guadalajara
▸ 3
0
1
0
W
2025-11-22
Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Arenteiro Arenteiro
Ourense CF Ourense CF
0
▸ 2
0
0
W
2025-11-29
Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Ourense CF Ourense CF
Unionistas de Salamanca Unionistas de Salamanca
▸ 4
3
0
0
W
Goals per match: 2.83
Goals 1st time: 0.33
Goals 2nd time: 2.5
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