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Match statistics: Estrela - Arouca
Portugal / Primeira Liga - Round 13
18:00, December 07, 2025
Estrela
3
:
1
First half 2:0
Arouca
Match finished
1
2.24
X
3.2
2
3.35
Math prediction: 1X — 1.3
Alex Pinto
28'
29'
Kikas
(I. Stoica)
34'
A. Marcus
(I. Stoica)
45'
O. Ngom
N. Djouahra
51'
E. van Ee
51'
T. Fukui
59'
T. Fukui
68'
Pedro Santos
85'
89'
Rodrigo Pinho
(J. Meireles)
H. Lee
90+7'
Match prediction Estrela - Arouca
Match outcome
Estrela
Estrela
win or draw
Goals / Match
3.3
Total Over 2.5
55%
Total Under 3.5
58%
Home goals prediction
Estrela
Estrela
expected 2 - 3 goals
Away goals prediction
Arouca
Arouca
expected 1 - 2 goals
Tournament chart
Estrela Estrela
Arouca Arouca
Estrela Estrela   power × 1.31 times greater   56.7%
Estrela Estrela   better at attack   64%
Estrela Estrela   better at defence   57%
Team comparison
Estrela Estrela
Arouca Arouca
Recent form
80%
20%
H2H strength
36%
64%
Goal realization
33%
67%
Poisson distribution [1]
70%
30%
Team power
56.7%
43.3%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: Primeira Liga - Round 13
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
14
Estrela Estrela
12
2
5
5
11
30.56%
13:18
-5
L
D
W
L
L
2.58
1.08
1.5
75%
42%
25%
17
Arouca Arouca
12
2
3
7
9
25%
13:34
-21
L
L
L
L
D
3.92
1.08
2.83
100%
67%
58%
Estrela
Points and results
Segment table:
4
All games
12
games
2
wins
17%
5
draws
42%
5
losses
42%
0.92
Points per game
11 (30.56%)
Total points
Home games
6
games
1
wins
17%
2
draws
33%
3
losses
50%
0.83
Points per game
5 (27.78%)
Total points
Arouca
Points and results
Segment table:
4
All games
12
games
2
wins
17%
3
draws
25%
7
losses
58%
0.75
Points per game
9 (25%)
Total points
Away games
5
games
1
wins
20%
1
draws
20%
3
losses
60%
0.8
Points per game
4 (26.67%)
Total points
Estrela
Estrela
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
normal
All competitions · season 2025
2025-09-27
Primeira Liga
Estrela Estrela
AVS Futebol SAD AVS Futebol SAD
▸ 3
0
3
0
W
2025-10-04
Primeira Liga
Gil Vicente Gil Vicente
Estrela Estrela
2
0
2
0
L
2025-10-25
Primeira Liga
Estrela Estrela
Rio Ave Rio Ave
1
2
1
0
L
2025-11-01
Primeira Liga
Casa Pia Casa Pia
Estrela Estrela
3
▸ 5
1
2
W
2025-11-09
Primeira Liga
Estrela Estrela
Nacional Nacional
1
1
0
1
D
2025-11-30
Primeira Liga
Sporting CP Sporting CP
Estrela Estrela
4
0
3
0
L
Goals per match: 3.67
Goals 1st time: 2.17
Goals 2nd time: 1.5
Arouca
Arouca
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
very bad
All competitions · season 2025
2025-09-29
Primeira Liga
Arouca Arouca
FC Porto FC Porto
0
4
0
1
L
2025-10-05
Primeira Liga
Arouca Arouca
Famalicao Famalicao
1
1
0
0
D
2025-10-25
Primeira Liga
Benfica Benfica
Arouca Arouca
5
0
3
0
L
2025-11-02
Primeira Liga
Arouca Arouca
Moreirense Moreirense
0
2
0
2
L
2025-11-07
Primeira Liga
Estoril Estoril
Arouca Arouca
4
3
2
2
L
2025-12-01
Primeira Liga
Arouca Arouca
SC Braga SC Braga
0
4
0
3
L
Goals per match: 4
Goals 1st time: 2.17
Goals 2nd time: 1.83
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