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Match statistics: Derby County - Millwall
Derby County
England / Championship - Round 20
19:45, December 10, 2025
1
:
1
First half 0:0
Millwall
Match finished
1
2.52
X
2.98
2
3.05
1X
1.38
X2
1.5
Math prediction: X2 — 1.5
3'
C. Elder
19'
L. Thompson
F. Azeez
78'
(own goal)
M. Clarke
81'
88'
J. Cooper
(own goal)
M. Langstaff
90+6'
D. McNamara
90+1'
Match prediction Derby County - Millwall
Match outcome
Millwall
Millwall
win or draw
Goals / Match
2.7
2.5+
50%
-3.5
71%
xG for the team (Home)
Derby County
Derby County
expected 1 - 2 goals
xG for the team (Away)
Millwall
Millwall
expected 1 - 2 goals
Tournament chart
Derby County Derby County
Millwall Millwall
Millwall Millwall   power × 1.7 times greater   63.2%
Derby County Derby County   better at attack   53%
Millwall Millwall   better at defence   63%
Team comparison
Derby County Derby County
Millwall Millwall
Recent form
38%
63%
H2H strength
15%
85%
Goal realization
33%
67%
Poisson distribution [1]
46%
54%
Team power
37.2%
63.2%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: Championship - Round 20
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
3
Millwall Millwall
19
10
4
5
34
59.65%
23:25
-2
W
W
W
L
D
2.53
1.21
1.32
74%
47%
26%
15
Derby County Derby County
19
7
5
7
26
45.61%
26:28
-2
L
L
W
L
W
2.84
1.37
1.47
74%
53%
32%
Derby County
Points and results
Segment table:
2
All games
19
games
7
wins
37%
5
draws
26%
7
losses
37%
1.37
Points per game
26 (45.61%)
Total points
Home games
10
games
3
wins
30%
3
draws
30%
4
losses
40%
1.2
Points per game
12 (40%)
Total points
Millwall
Points and results
Segment table:
2
All games
19
games
10
wins
53%
4
draws
21%
5
losses
26%
1.79
Points per game
34 (59.65%)
Total points
Away games
9
games
4
wins
44%
3
draws
33%
2
losses
22%
1.67
Points per game
15 (55.56%)
Total points
Derby County
Derby County
Latest six matches
Latest form:
normal
2025-11-04
Championship
Derby County Derby County
Hull City Hull City
▸ 2
1
1
0
W
2025-11-08
Championship
Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers
Derby County Derby County
1
▸ 2
0
2
W
2025-11-22
Championship
Derby County Derby County
Watford Watford
2
3
1
0
L
2025-11-25
Championship
Swansea City Swansea City
Derby County Derby County
1
▸ 2
0
1
W
2025-11-29
Championship
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
Derby County Derby County
2
1
0
1
L
2025-12-06
Championship
Derby County Derby County
Leicester City Leicester City
1
3
0
3
L
Goals per match: 3.5
Goals 1st time: 1.5
Goals 2nd time: 2
Millwall
Millwall
Latest six matches
Latest form:
normal
2025-11-04
Championship
Birmingham City Birmingham City
Millwall Millwall
4
0
2
0
L
2025-11-08
Championship
Millwall Millwall
Preston North End Preston North End
1
1
1
1
D
2025-11-22
Championship
Portsmouth Portsmouth
Millwall Millwall
3
1
1
0
L
2025-11-26
Championship
Millwall Millwall
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
▸ 1
0
0
0
W
2025-11-29
Championship
Millwall Millwall
Southampton Southampton
▸ 3
2
0
0
W
2025-12-06
Championship
Bristol City Bristol City
Millwall Millwall
0
▸ 1
0
0
W
Goals per match: 2.83
Goals 1st time: 0.83
Goals 2nd time: 2
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