EN
Match statistics: Birmingham City - Derby County
England / Championship - Round 23
12:30, December 26, 2025
Birmingham City
1
:
1
First half 0:1
Derby County
Match finished
1
1.91
X
3.4
2
4.1
Math prediction: X2 — 1.85
(R. Brewster)
P. Agyemang
27'
J. Ward
29'
J. Ward
39'
J. Ward
39'
49'
C. Klarer
64'
J. Robinson
S. Langas
71'
71'
J. Stansfield
74'
Paik Seung-Ho
90+2'
C. Klarer
Match prediction Birmingham City - Derby County
Match outcome
Derby County
Derby County
win or draw
Goals / Match
2.7
Total Over 2.5
53%
Total Under 3.5
73%
Home goals prediction
Birmingham City
Birmingham City
expected 1 - 2 goals
Away goals prediction
Derby County
Derby County
expected 1 - 2 goals
Tournament chart
Birmingham City Birmingham City
Derby County Derby County
Derby County Derby County   power × 1.15 times greater   53.5%
Derby County Derby County   better at attack   58%
Derby County Derby County   better at defence   59%
Team comparison
Birmingham City Birmingham City
Derby County Derby County
Recent form
44%
56%
H2H strength
50%
50%
Goal realization
41%
59%
Poisson distribution [1]
61%
39%
Team power
46.5%
53.5%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: Championship - Round 23
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
12
Derby County Derby County
22
8
7
7
31
46.97%
31:30
+1
D
W
D
L
L
2.77
1.41
1.36
77%
50%
27%
14
Birmingham City Birmingham City
22
8
5
9
29
43.94%
30:29
+1
L
D
L
L
W
2.68
1.36
1.32
77%
55%
27%
Birmingham City
Points and results
Segment table:
2
All games
22
games
8
wins
36%
5
draws
23%
9
losses
41%
1.32
Points per game
29 (43.94%)
Total points
Home games
10
games
6
wins
60%
3
draws
30%
1
losses
10%
2.1
Points per game
21 (70%)
Total points
Derby County
Points and results
Segment table:
2
All games
22
games
8
wins
36%
7
draws
32%
7
losses
32%
1.41
Points per game
31 (46.97%)
Total points
Away games
10
games
5
wins
50%
2
draws
20%
3
losses
30%
1.7
Points per game
17 (56.67%)
Total points
Birmingham City
Birmingham City
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
bad
All competitions · season 2025
2025-11-26
Championship
West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion
Birmingham City Birmingham City
1
1
1
0
D
2025-12-01
Championship
Birmingham City Birmingham City
Watford Watford
▸ 2
1
2
0
W
2025-12-06
Championship
Southampton Southampton
Birmingham City Birmingham City
3
1
2
0
L
2025-12-09
Championship
Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers
Birmingham City Birmingham City
2
1
1
0
L
2025-12-13
Championship
Birmingham City Birmingham City
Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic
1
1
1
0
D
2025-12-20
Championship
Sheffield United Sheffield United
Birmingham City Birmingham City
3
0
2
0
L
Goals per match: 2.83
Goals 1st time: 1.5
Goals 2nd time: 1.33
Derby County
Derby County
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
normal
All competitions · season 2025
2025-11-25
Championship
Swansea City Swansea City
Derby County Derby County
1
▸ 2
0
1
W
2025-11-29
Championship
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
Derby County Derby County
2
1
0
1
L
2025-12-06
Championship
Derby County Derby County
Leicester City Leicester City
1
3
0
3
L
2025-12-10
Championship
Derby County Derby County
Millwall Millwall
1
1
0
0
D
2025-12-15
Championship
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
Derby County Derby County
0
▸ 3
0
1
W
2025-12-20
Championship
Derby County Derby County
Portsmouth Portsmouth
1
1
1
1
D
Goals per match: 2.83
Goals 1st time: 1.33
Goals 2nd time: 1.5
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