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Match statistics: Leicester City - Derby County
England / Championship - Round 24
19:45, December 29, 2026
Leicester City
2
:
1
First half 2:1
Derby County
Match finished
1
2.1
X
3.3
2
3.55
Math prediction: 1X — 1.28
6'
B. De Cordova-Reid
(I. Fatawu)
(C. Elder)
R. Brewster
9'
41'
J. James
(L. Thomas)
83'
J. James
K. Jackson
90+6'
L. Thompson
90+6'
Match prediction Leicester City - Derby County
Match outcome
Leicester City
Leicester City
win or draw
Goals / Match
2.8
Total Over 2.5
55%
Total Under 3.5
72%
Home goals prediction
Leicester City
Leicester City
expected 1 - 2 goals
Away goals prediction
Derby County
Derby County
expected 1 - 2 goals
Tournament chart
Leicester City Leicester City
Derby County Derby County
Leicester City Leicester City   power × 1.47 times greater   59.7%
Leicester City Leicester City   better at attack   59%
Derby County Derby County   better at defence   63%
Team comparison
Leicester City Leicester City
Derby County Derby County
Recent form
54%
46%
H2H strength
93%
7%
Goal realization
71%
29%
Poisson distribution [1]
43%
57%
Team power
59.7%
40.5%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: Championship - Round 24
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
11
Derby County Derby County
23
8
8
7
32
46.38%
32:31
+1
D
D
W
D
L
2.74
1.39
1.35
78%
48%
26%
14
Leicester City Leicester City
23
8
7
8
31
44.93%
32:33
-1
L
L
W
D
W
2.83
1.39
1.43
87%
61%
30%
Leicester City
Points and results
Segment table:
2
All games
23
games
8
wins
35%
7
draws
30%
8
losses
35%
1.35
Points per game
31 (44.93%)
Total points
Home games
11
games
4
wins
36%
4
draws
36%
3
losses
27%
1.45
Points per game
16 (48.48%)
Total points
Derby County
Points and results
Segment table:
2
All games
23
games
8
wins
35%
8
draws
35%
7
losses
30%
1.39
Points per game
32 (46.38%)
Total points
Away games
11
games
5
wins
45%
3
draws
27%
3
losses
27%
1.64
Points per game
18 (54.55%)
Total points
Leicester City
Leicester City
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
normal
All competitions · season 2025
2025-11-29
Championship
Leicester City Leicester City
Sheffield United Sheffield United
2
3
0
3
L
2025-12-06
Championship
Derby County Derby County
Leicester City Leicester City
1
▸ 3
0
3
W
2025-12-10
Championship
Bristol City Bristol City
Leicester City Leicester City
2
2
0
2
D
2025-12-13
Championship
Leicester City Leicester City
Ipswich Town Ipswich Town
▸ 3
1
2
0
W
2025-12-20
Championship
Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers
Leicester City Leicester City
4
1
4
0
L
2025-12-26
Championship
Leicester City Leicester City
Watford Watford
1
2
1
1
L
Goals per match: 4.17
Goals 1st time: 2.67
Goals 2nd time: 1.5
Derby County
Derby County
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
bad
All competitions · season 2025
2025-11-29
Championship
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
Derby County Derby County
2
1
0
1
L
2025-12-06
Championship
Derby County Derby County
Leicester City Leicester City
1
3
0
3
L
2025-12-10
Championship
Derby County Derby County
Millwall Millwall
1
1
0
0
D
2025-12-15
Championship
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
Derby County Derby County
0
▸ 3
0
1
W
2025-12-20
Championship
Derby County Derby County
Portsmouth Portsmouth
1
1
1
1
D
2025-12-26
Championship
Birmingham City Birmingham City
Derby County Derby County
1
1
0
1
D
Goals per match: 2.67
Goals 1st time: 1.33
Goals 2nd time: 1.33
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