EN
Match statistics: Derby County - Middlesbrough
England / Championship - Round 25
15:00, January 01, 2026
Derby County
1
:
0
First half 0:0
Middlesbrough
Match finished
1
3.05
X
3.25
2
2.35
Math prediction: X2 — 1.36
59'
C. Elder
70'
B. Clark
(L. Salvesen)
73'
L. Salvesen
A. Gilbert
84'
M. Targett
90+4'
Match prediction Derby County - Middlesbrough
Match outcome
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
win or draw
Goals / Match
2.6
Total Over 2.5
50%
Total Under 3.5
79%
Home goals prediction
Derby County
Derby County
expected 1 - 2 goals
Away goals prediction
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
expected 1 - 2 goals
Tournament chart
Derby County Derby County
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough   power × 1.4 times greater   58.3%
Derby County Derby County   better at attack   58%
Teams even at defence
Team comparison
Derby County Derby County
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
Recent form
46%
54%
H2H strength
29%
71%
Goal realization
30%
70%
Poisson distribution [1]
37%
63%
Team power
41.7%
58.3%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: Championship - Round 25
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
2
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
24
12
7
5
43
59.72%
33:25
+8
L
D
L
W
W
2.42
1.38
1.04
71%
50%
17%
14
Derby County Derby County
24
8
8
8
32
44.44%
33:33
0
L
D
D
W
D
2.75
1.38
1.38
79%
50%
25%
Derby County
Points and results
Segment table:
2
All games
24
games
8
wins
33%
8
draws
33%
8
losses
33%
1.33
Points per game
32 (44.44%)
Total points
Home games
12
games
3
wins
25%
5
draws
42%
4
losses
33%
1.17
Points per game
14 (38.89%)
Total points
Middlesbrough
Points and results
Segment table:
1
All games
24
games
12
wins
50%
7
draws
29%
5
losses
21%
1.79
Points per game
43 (59.72%)
Total points
Away games
12
games
5
wins
42%
4
draws
33%
3
losses
25%
1.58
Points per game
19 (52.78%)
Total points
Derby County
Derby County
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
bad
All competitions · season 2025
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Derby County Derby County
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1
3
0
3
L
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Derby County Derby County
Millwall Millwall
1
1
0
0
D
2025-12-15
Championship
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
Derby County Derby County
0
▸ 3
0
1
W
2025-12-20
Championship
Derby County Derby County
Portsmouth Portsmouth
1
1
1
1
D
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Championship
Birmingham City Birmingham City
Derby County Derby County
1
1
0
1
D
2025-12-29
Championship
Leicester City Leicester City
Derby County Derby County
2
1
2
1
L
Goals per match: 2.67
Goals 1st time: 1.67
Goals 2nd time: 1
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
normal
All competitions · season 2025
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Championship
Hull City Hull City
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
1
▸ 4
0
4
W
2025-12-09
Championship
Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
1
▸ 2
0
2
W
2025-12-13
Championship
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers
▸ 3
1
2
0
W
2025-12-20
Championship
Bristol City Bristol City
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
2
0
1
0
L
2025-12-26
Championship
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers
0
0
0
0
D
2025-12-29
Championship
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
Hull City Hull City
0
1
0
1
L
Goals per match: 2.5
Goals 1st time: 1.67
Goals 2nd time: 0.83
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