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Match statistics: Lugo - Mérida AD
Spain / Primera División RFEF - Group 1 - Round 18
11:00, January 03, 2026
Lugo
1
:
0
First half 1:0
Mérida AD
Match finished
1
2.05
X
3
2
3.55
Math prediction: 1X — 1.22
J. Lancho
19'
35'
N. Reniero
Pipe
40'
50'
V. Pastrana
53'
N. Reniero
R. Beneit
81'
Match prediction Lugo - Mérida AD
Match outcome
Lugo
Lugo
win or draw
Goals / Match
2.4
Total Over 2.5
50%
Total Under 3.5
79%
Home goals prediction
Lugo
Lugo
expected 1 - 2 goals
Away goals prediction
Mérida AD
Mérida AD
expected 1 - 2 goals
Tournament chart
Lugo Lugo
Mérida AD Mérida AD
Lugo Lugo   power × 1.35 times greater   57.5%
Mérida AD Mérida AD   better at attack   67%
Lugo Lugo   better at defence   67%
Team comparison
Lugo Lugo
Mérida AD Mérida AD
Recent form
53%
47%
H2H strength
0%
0%
Goal realization
0%
0%
Poisson distribution [1]
77%
23%
Team power
57.5%
42.5%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: Primera División RFEF - Group 1 - Round 18
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
9
Mérida AD Mérida AD
17
7
3
7
24
47.06%
26:26
0
L
L
W
D
W
3.06
1.53
1.53
88%
71%
29%
10
Lugo Lugo
17
5
8
4
23
45.1%
15:14
+1
W
D
D
L
W
1.71
0.88
0.82
53%
29%
12%
Lugo
Points and results
Segment table:
2
All games
17
games
5
wins
29%
8
draws
47%
4
losses
24%
1.35
Points per game
23 (45.1%)
Total points
Home games
8
games
5
wins
63%
3
draws
38%
0
losses
0%
2.25
Points per game
18 (75%)
Total points
Mérida AD
Points and results
Segment table:
2
All games
17
games
7
wins
41%
3
draws
18%
7
losses
41%
1.41
Points per game
24 (47.06%)
Total points
Away games
8
games
1
wins
13%
2
draws
25%
5
losses
63%
0.63
Points per game
5 (20.83%)
Total points
Lugo
Lugo
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
normal
All competitions · season 2025
2025-11-15
Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Ponferradina Ponferradina
Lugo Lugo
1
1
1
1
D
2025-11-22
Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Lugo Lugo
Pontevedra Pontevedra
▸ 1
0
0
0
W
2025-11-29
Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Athletic Club II Athletic Club II
Lugo Lugo
2
0
0
0
L
2025-12-07
Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Lugo Lugo
Tenerife Tenerife
2
2
0
2
D
2025-12-13
Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Osasuna II Osasuna II
Lugo Lugo
0
0
0
0
D
2025-12-21
Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Lugo Lugo
Ourense CF Ourense CF
▸ 2
1
0
0
W
Goals per match: 2
Goals 1st time: 0.67
Goals 2nd time: 1.33
Mérida AD
Mérida AD
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
normal
All competitions · season 2025
2025-11-15
Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Pontevedra Pontevedra
Mérida AD Mérida AD
1
1
1
0
D
2025-11-22
Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Mérida AD Mérida AD
Real Avilés Real Avilés
▸ 2
1
1
0
W
2025-11-29
Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol
Mérida AD Mérida AD
2
2
0
0
D
2025-12-07
Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Mérida AD Mérida AD
Ourense CF Ourense CF
▸ 3
2
1
1
W
2025-12-14
Primera División RFEF - Group 1
CF Talavera CF Talavera
Mérida AD Mérida AD
2
1
1
1
L
2025-12-19
Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Mérida AD Mérida AD
Athletic Club II Athletic Club II
2
3
2
2
L
Goals per match: 3.67
Goals 1st time: 1.67
Goals 2nd time: 2
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