EN
Match statistics: Derby County - Wrexham
England / Championship - Round 26
15:00, January 04, 2026
Derby County
1
:
2
First half 1:1
Wrexham
Match finished
1
2.36
X
3.2
2
3.1
Math prediction: 1X — 1.36
(N. Broadhead)
S. Smith
25'
M. Cleworth
30'
34'
B. Brereton Diaz
(M. Clarke)
M. James
48'
M. James
69'
73'
D. Sanderson
Match prediction Derby County - Wrexham
Match outcome
Derby County
Derby County
win or draw
Goals / Match
2.7
Total Over 2.5
44%
Total Under 3.5
74%
Home goals prediction
Derby County
Derby County
expected 1 - 2 goals
Away goals prediction
Wrexham
Wrexham
expected 1 - 2 goals
Tournament chart
Derby County Derby County
Wrexham Wrexham
Wrexham Wrexham   power × 1.07 times greater   51.7%
Wrexham Wrexham   better at attack   63%
Derby County Derby County   better at defence   67%
Team comparison
Derby County Derby County
Wrexham Wrexham
Recent form
44%
56%
H2H strength
50%
50%
Goal realization
50%
50%
Poisson distribution [1]
42%
58%
Team power
48.3%
51.7%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: Championship - Round 26
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
10
Wrexham Wrexham
25
9
10
6
37
49.33%
36:31
+5
W
W
W
L
D
2.68
1.44
1.24
80%
40%
28%
11
Derby County Derby County
25
9
8
8
35
46.67%
34:33
+1
W
L
D
D
W
2.68
1.36
1.32
76%
48%
24%
Derby County
Points and results
Segment table:
2
All games
25
games
9
wins
36%
8
draws
32%
8
losses
32%
1.4
Points per game
35 (46.67%)
Total points
Home games
13
games
4
wins
31%
5
draws
38%
4
losses
31%
1.31
Points per game
17 (43.59%)
Total points
Wrexham
Points and results
Segment table:
2
All games
25
games
9
wins
36%
10
draws
40%
6
losses
24%
1.48
Points per game
37 (49.33%)
Total points
Away games
12
games
3
wins
25%
5
draws
42%
4
losses
33%
1.17
Points per game
14 (38.89%)
Total points
Derby County
Derby County
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
normal
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Goals per match: 2.17
Goals 1st time: 1.17
Goals 2nd time: 1
Wrexham
Wrexham
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
normal
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W
Goals per match: 3.67
Goals 1st time: 2.17
Goals 2nd time: 1.5
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