EN
Match statistics: Preston North End - Derby County
England / Championship - Round 27
15:00, January 17, 2026
Preston North End
0
:
1
First half 0:0
Derby County
Match finished
1
2.16
X
3.1
2
3.6
Math prediction: 1X — 1.28
B. Clark
38'
D. Ozoh
40'
B. Brereton Diaz
57'
C. Elder
63'
66'
L. Dobbin
(B. Brereton Diaz)
P. Agyemang
82'
87'
J. Thompson
L. Thompson
87'
Match prediction Preston North End - Derby County
Match outcome
Preston North End
Preston North End
win or draw
Goals / Match
2.5
Total Over 2.5
46%
Total Under 3.5
81%
Home goals prediction
Preston North End
Preston North End
expected 1 - 2 goals
Away goals prediction
Derby County
Derby County
expected 1 - 2 goals
Tournament chart
Preston North End Preston North End
Derby County Derby County
Preston North End Preston North End   power × 1.07 times greater   51.7%
Preston North End Preston North End   better at attack   58%
Preston North End Preston North End   better at defence   67%
Team comparison
Preston North End Preston North End
Derby County Derby County
Recent form
62%
38%
H2H strength
38%
62%
Goal realization
33%
67%
Poisson distribution [1]
52%
48%
Team power
51.7%
48.3%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: Championship - Round 27
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
4
Preston North End Preston North End
26
11
10
5
43
55.13%
36:25
+11
W
W
L
D
D
2.35
1.38
0.96
77%
42%
15%
13
Derby County Derby County
26
9
8
9
35
44.87%
35:35
0
L
W
L
D
D
2.69
1.35
1.35
77%
50%
23%
Preston North End
Points and results
Segment table:
1
All games
26
games
11
wins
42%
10
draws
38%
5
losses
19%
1.65
Points per game
43 (55.13%)
Total points
Home games
13
games
6
wins
46%
5
draws
38%
2
losses
15%
1.77
Points per game
23 (58.97%)
Total points
Derby County
Points and results
Segment table:
2
All games
26
games
9
wins
35%
8
draws
31%
9
losses
35%
1.35
Points per game
35 (44.87%)
Total points
Away games
12
games
5
wins
42%
3
draws
25%
4
losses
33%
1.5
Points per game
18 (50%)
Total points
Preston North End
Preston North End
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
good
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Preston North End Preston North End
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Goals per match: 2.17
Goals 1st time: 0.67
Goals 2nd time: 1.5
Derby County
Derby County
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
normal
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Derby County Derby County
0
▸ 3
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W
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1
1
1
1
D
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Derby County Derby County
1
1
0
1
D
2025-12-29
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Leicester City Leicester City
Derby County Derby County
2
1
2
1
L
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Derby County Derby County
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
▸ 1
0
0
0
W
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Derby County Derby County
Wrexham Wrexham
1
2
1
1
L
Goals per match: 2.33
Goals 1st time: 1.5
Goals 2nd time: 0.83
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