EN
Match statistics: AC Milan - Lecce
Italy / Serie A - Round 21
19:45, January 18, 2026
AC Milan
1
:
0
First half 0:0
Lecce
Match finished
1
1.27
X
4.9
2
12.5
Math prediction: 1 — 1.27
21'
K. De Winter
76'
N. Fullkrug
(A. Saelemaekers)
Y. Ramadani
84'
Match prediction AC Milan - Lecce
Match outcome
AC Milan
AC Milan
win
Goals / Match
2.3
Total Over 2.5
43%
Total Under 3.5
80%
Home goals prediction
AC Milan
AC Milan
expected 1 - 2 goals
Away goals prediction
Lecce
Lecce
expected 0 - 1 goal
Tournament chart
AC Milan AC Milan
Lecce Lecce
AC Milan AC Milan   power × 4.83 times greater   83%
AC Milan AC Milan   better at attack   82%
AC Milan AC Milan   better at defence   75%
Team comparison
AC Milan AC Milan
Lecce Lecce
Recent form
92%
8%
H2H strength
100%
0%
Goal realization
88%
13%
Poisson distribution [1]
78%
22%
Team power
83%
17.2%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: Serie A - Round 21
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
2
AC Milan AC Milan
20
12
7
1
43
71.67%
33:16
+17
W
D
D
W
W
2.45
1.65
0.8
70%
50%
25%
17
Lecce Lecce
20
4
5
11
17
28.33%
13:28
-15
L
L
L
D
L
2.05
0.65
1.4
60%
35%
15%
AC Milan
Points and results
Segment table:
1
All games
20
games
12
wins
60%
7
draws
35%
1
losses
5%
2.15
Points per game
43 (71.67%)
Total points
Home games
10
games
6
wins
60%
3
draws
30%
1
losses
10%
2.1
Points per game
21 (70%)
Total points
Lecce
Points and results
Segment table:
4
All games
20
games
4
wins
20%
5
draws
25%
11
losses
55%
0.85
Points per game
17 (28.33%)
Total points
Away games
9
games
2
wins
22%
2
draws
22%
5
losses
56%
0.89
Points per game
8 (29.63%)
Total points
AC Milan
AC Milan
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
good
All competitions · season 2025
2025-12-14
Serie A
AC Milan AC Milan
Sassuolo Sassuolo
2
2
1
1
D
2025-12-28
Serie A
AC Milan AC Milan
Verona Verona
▸ 3
0
1
0
W
2026-01-02
Serie A
Cagliari Cagliari
AC Milan AC Milan
0
▸ 1
0
0
W
2026-01-08
Serie A
AC Milan AC Milan
Genoa Genoa
1
1
0
1
D
2026-01-11
Serie A
Fiorentina Fiorentina
AC Milan AC Milan
1
1
0
0
D
2026-01-15
Serie A
Como Como
AC Milan AC Milan
1
▸ 3
1
1
W
Goals per match: 2.67
Goals 1st time: 1
Goals 2nd time: 1.67
Lecce
Lecce
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
bad
All competitions · season 2025
2025-12-12
Serie A
Lecce Lecce
Pisa Pisa
▸ 1
0
0
0
W
2025-12-27
Serie A
Lecce Lecce
Como Como
0
3
0
1
L
2026-01-03
Serie A
Juventus Juventus
Lecce Lecce
1
1
0
1
D
2026-01-06
Serie A
Lecce Lecce
AS Roma AS Roma
0
2
0
1
L
2026-01-11
Serie A
Lecce Lecce
Parma Parma
1
2
1
0
L
2026-01-14
Serie A
Inter Milan Inter Milan
Lecce Lecce
1
0
0
0
L
Goals per match: 2
Goals 1st time: 0.67
Goals 2nd time: 1.33
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