EN
Match statistics: Carlisle United - York City
England / National League - Round 28
19:45, January 21, 2026
Carlisle United
0
:
3
First half 0:1
York City
Match finished
1
2.95
X
3.45
2
2.15
Math prediction: X2 — 1.36
(B. Brookes)
J. Stones
6'
(penalty)
A. Hunt
75'
A. Newby
90+8'
Match prediction Carlisle United - York City
Match outcome
York City
York City
win or draw
Goals / Match
3.3
Total Over 2.5
63%
Total Under 3.5
56%
Home goals prediction
Carlisle United
Carlisle United
expected 1 - 2 goals
Away goals prediction
York City
York City
expected 1 - 2 goals
Tournament chart
Carlisle United Carlisle United
York City York City
York City York City   power × 1.52 times greater   60.3%
York City York City   better at attack   55%
Teams even at defence
Team comparison
Carlisle United Carlisle United
York City York City
Recent form
48%
52%
H2H strength
25%
75%
Goal realization
21%
79%
Poisson distribution [1]
49%
51%
Team power
39.7%
60.3%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: National League - Round 28
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
1
York City York City
26
16
8
2
56
71.79%
66:28
+38
D
W
W
D
W
3.62
2.54
1.08
92%
73%
62%
3
Carlisle United Carlisle United
27
17
5
5
56
69.14%
49:30
+19
D
W
W
W
L
2.93
1.81
1.11
85%
52%
26%
Carlisle United
Points and results
Segment table:
1
All games
27
games
17
wins
63%
5
draws
19%
5
losses
19%
2.07
Points per game
56 (69.14%)
Total points
Home games
14
games
9
wins
64%
3
draws
21%
2
losses
14%
2.14
Points per game
30 (71.43%)
Total points
York City
Points and results
Segment table:
1
All games
26
games
16
wins
62%
8
draws
31%
2
losses
8%
2.15
Points per game
56 (71.79%)
Total points
Away games
12
games
8
wins
67%
4
draws
33%
0
losses
0%
2.33
Points per game
28 (77.78%)
Total points
Carlisle United
Carlisle United
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
normal
All competitions · season 2025
2025-12-10
National League
Carlisle United Carlisle United
Woking Woking
1
3
1
2
L
2025-12-21
National League
Boreham Wood Boreham Wood
Carlisle United Carlisle United
2
0
2
0
L
2025-12-26
National League
Gateshead Gateshead
Carlisle United Carlisle United
0
▸ 3
0
1
W
2025-12-30
National League
Carlisle United Carlisle United
Morecambe Morecambe
▸ 1
0
1
0
W
2026-01-03
National League
Carlisle United Carlisle United
Wealdstone Wealdstone
▸ 2
0
1
0
W
2026-01-17
National League
Solihull Moors Solihull Moors
Carlisle United Carlisle United
3
3
2
1
D
Goals per match: 3
Goals 1st time: 1.83
Goals 2nd time: 1.17
York City
York City
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
good
All competitions · season 2025
2025-11-29
National League
York City York City
Aldershot Town Aldershot Town
▸ 5
1
1
1
W
2025-12-20
National League
York City York City
Truro City Truro City
▸ 4
0
3
0
W
2025-12-26
National League
York City York City
Boston United Boston United
2
2
1
0
D
2025-12-30
National League
Altrincham Altrincham
York City York City
1
▸ 2
0
1
W
2026-01-10
National League
Sutton United Sutton United
York City York City
1
▸ 2
1
1
W
2026-01-17
National League
York City York City
Southend United Southend United
1
1
0
1
D
Goals per match: 3.67
Goals 1st time: 1.67
Goals 2nd time: 2
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