EN
Match statistics: Bristol City - Derby County
England / Championship - Round 30
20:00, January 30, 2026
Bristol City
0
:
5
First half 0:3
Derby County
Match finished
1
2
X
3.3
2
3.7
Math prediction: 1X — 1.25
D. Ozoh
11'
(C. Elder)
R. Brewster
13'
(B. Clark)
B. Brereton Diaz
16'
(B. Brereton Diaz)
B. Clark
36'
(J. Ward)
P. Agyemang
66'
80'
C. Pring
(A. Weimann)
L. Salvesen
88'
Match prediction Bristol City - Derby County
Match outcome
Bristol City
Bristol City
win or draw
Goals / Match
2.5
Total Over 2.5
45%
Total Under 3.5
77%
Home goals prediction
Bristol City
Bristol City
expected 1 - 2 goals
Away goals prediction
Derby County
Derby County
expected 1 - 2 goals
Tournament chart
Bristol City Bristol City
Derby County Derby County
Bristol City Bristol City   power × 1.16 times greater   53.7%
Bristol City Bristol City   better at attack   54%
Teams even at defence
Team comparison
Bristol City Bristol City
Derby County Derby County
Recent form
41%
59%
H2H strength
71%
29%
Goal realization
55%
45%
Poisson distribution [1]
51%
49%
Team power
53.7%
46.3%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: Championship - Round 30
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
7
Bristol City Bristol City
29
12
7
10
43
49.43%
40:31
+9
W
L
D
L
W
2.45
1.38
1.07
69%
41%
24%
11
Derby County Derby County
29
11
9
9
42
48.28%
39:37
+2
D
W
W
L
W
2.62
1.34
1.28
76%
48%
21%
Bristol City
Points and results
Segment table:
2
All games
29
games
12
wins
41%
7
draws
24%
10
losses
34%
1.48
Points per game
43 (49.43%)
Total points
Home games
15
games
7
wins
47%
3
draws
20%
5
losses
33%
1.6
Points per game
24 (53.33%)
Total points
Derby County
Points and results
Segment table:
2
All games
29
games
11
wins
38%
9
draws
31%
9
losses
31%
1.45
Points per game
42 (48.28%)
Total points
Away games
14
games
7
wins
50%
3
draws
21%
4
losses
29%
1.71
Points per game
24 (57.14%)
Total points
Bristol City
Bristol City
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
normal
All competitions · season 2025
2025-12-29
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Bristol City Bristol City
2
1
1
0
L
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Bristol City Bristol City
Portsmouth Portsmouth
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0
2
0
W
2026-01-04
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Bristol City Bristol City
Preston North End Preston North End
0
2
0
1
L
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Championship
Oxford United Oxford United
Bristol City Bristol City
0
0
0
0
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2026-01-20
Championship
Ipswich Town Ipswich Town
Bristol City Bristol City
2
0
1
0
L
2026-01-24
Championship
Bristol City Bristol City
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
▸ 2
0
0
0
W
Goals per match: 2.33
Goals 1st time: 0.83
Goals 2nd time: 1.5
Derby County
Derby County
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
normal
All competitions · season 2025
2025-12-29
Championship
Leicester City Leicester City
Derby County Derby County
2
1
2
1
L
2026-01-01
Championship
Derby County Derby County
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
▸ 1
0
0
0
W
2026-01-04
Championship
Derby County Derby County
Wrexham Wrexham
1
2
1
1
L
2026-01-17
Championship
Preston North End Preston North End
Derby County Derby County
0
▸ 1
0
0
W
2026-01-20
Championship
Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic
Derby County Derby County
1
▸ 2
0
1
W
2026-01-23
Championship
Derby County Derby County
West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion
1
1
1
0
D
Goals per match: 2.17
Goals 1st time: 1.17
Goals 2nd time: 1
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