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Match statistics: Real Avilés - Mérida AD
Spain / Primera División RFEF - Group 1 - Round 22
20:00, January 31, 2026
Real Avilés
1
:
2
First half 0:1
Mérida AD
Match finished
1
2.3
X
3
2
3
Math prediction: X2 — 1.55
J. Dominguez
18'
A. Gil
28'
R. Gomes
33'
37'
Q. Bari
41'
50'
A. Santamaria
J. Dominguez
73'
Match prediction Real Avilés - Mérida AD
Match outcome
Mérida AD
Mérida AD
win or draw
Goals / Match
2.8
Total Over 2.5
60%
Total Under 3.5
76%
Home goals prediction
Real Avilés
Real Avilés
expected 1 - 2 goals
Away goals prediction
Mérida AD
Mérida AD
expected 1 - 2 goals
Tournament chart
Real Avilés Real Avilés
Mérida AD Mérida AD
Mérida AD Mérida AD   power × 1.08 times greater   52%
Real Avilés Real Avilés   better at attack   55%
Mérida AD Mérida AD   better at defence   57%
Team comparison
Real Avilés Real Avilés
Mérida AD Mérida AD
Recent form
55%
45%
H2H strength
0%
100%
Goal realization
33%
67%
Poisson distribution [1]
54%
46%
Team power
48%
52%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: Primera División RFEF - Group 1 - Round 22
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
9
Real Avilés Real Avilés
21
9
3
9
30
47.62%
30:30
0
L
W
L
L
W
2.86
1.43
1.43
81%
62%
24%
11
Mérida AD Mérida AD
21
8
5
8
29
46.03%
29:29
0
D
D
W
L
L
2.76
1.38
1.38
81%
57%
24%
Real Avilés
Points and results
Segment table:
2
All games
21
games
9
wins
43%
3
draws
14%
9
losses
43%
1.43
Points per game
30 (47.62%)
Total points
Home games
11
games
4
wins
36%
2
draws
18%
5
losses
45%
1.27
Points per game
14 (42.42%)
Total points
Mérida AD
Points and results
Segment table:
3
All games
21
games
8
wins
38%
5
draws
24%
8
losses
38%
1.38
Points per game
29 (46.03%)
Total points
Away games
10
games
1
wins
10%
3
draws
30%
6
losses
60%
0.6
Points per game
6 (20%)
Total points
Real Avilés
Real Avilés
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
bad
All competitions · season 2025
2025-12-13
Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Real Avilés Real Avilés
Tenerife Tenerife
0
1
0
1
L
2025-12-21
Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Real Avilés Real Avilés
Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol
▸ 2
1
1
1
W
2026-01-03
Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Ourense CF Ourense CF
Real Avilés Real Avilés
2
1
0
1
L
2026-01-10
Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Real Avilés Real Avilés
Pontevedra Pontevedra
0
3
0
1
L
2026-01-16
Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Athletic Club II Athletic Club II
Real Avilés Real Avilés
0
▸ 2
0
1
W
2026-01-25
Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Real Avilés Real Avilés
Lugo Lugo
1
2
1
1
L
Goals per match: 2.5
Goals 1st time: 1.33
Goals 2nd time: 1.17
Mérida AD
Mérida AD
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
bad
All competitions · season 2025
2025-12-14
Primera División RFEF - Group 1
CF Talavera CF Talavera
Mérida AD Mérida AD
2
1
1
1
L
2025-12-19
Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Mérida AD Mérida AD
Athletic Club II Athletic Club II
2
3
2
2
L
2026-01-03
Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Lugo Lugo
Mérida AD Mérida AD
1
0
1
0
L
2026-01-11
Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Mérida AD Mérida AD
Osasuna II Osasuna II
▸ 1
0
1
0
W
2026-01-18
Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Real Madrid II Real Madrid II
Mérida AD Mérida AD
1
1
1
1
D
2026-01-23
Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Mérida AD Mérida AD
Pontevedra Pontevedra
1
1
1
0
D
Goals per match: 2.33
Goals 1st time: 1.83
Goals 2nd time: 0.5
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