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Match statistics: Alverca - Estrela
Portugal / Primeira Liga - Round 20
20:30, January 31, 2026
Alverca
1
:
1
First half 0:0
Estrela
Match finished
1
2.1
X
3.15
2
3.6
Math prediction: X2 — 1.7
P. Moreira
10'
Y. Kalley
64'
66'
V. Moreira
(penalty)
S. van Hooijdonk
81'
87'
F. Garcia
(Lincoln)
Match prediction Alverca - Estrela
Match outcome
Estrela
Estrela
win or draw
Goals / Match
2.9
Total Over 2.5
58%
Total Under 3.5
63%
Home goals prediction
Alverca
Alverca
expected 1 - 2 goals
Away goals prediction
Estrela
Estrela
expected 1 - 2 goals
Tournament chart
Alverca Alverca
Estrela Estrela
Estrela Estrela   power × 1.01 times greater   50.3%
Estrela Estrela   better at attack   60%
Alverca Alverca   better at defence   52%
Team comparison
Alverca Alverca
Estrela Estrela
Recent form
55%
45%
H2H strength
50%
50%
Goal realization
50%
50%
Poisson distribution [1]
51%
49%
Team power
49.7%
50.3%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: Primeira Liga - Round 20
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
10
Alverca Alverca
19
7
2
10
23
40.35%
19:33
-14
L
W
W
L
L
2.74
1
1.74
79%
58%
26%
13
Estrela Estrela
19
4
7
8
19
33.33%
23:36
-13
L
L
D
W
D
3.11
1.21
1.89
79%
58%
47%
Alverca
Points and results
Segment table:
3
All games
19
games
7
wins
37%
2
draws
11%
10
losses
53%
1.21
Points per game
23 (40.35%)
Total points
Home games
10
games
5
wins
50%
1
draws
10%
4
losses
40%
1.6
Points per game
16 (53.33%)
Total points
Estrela
Points and results
Segment table:
4
All games
19
games
4
wins
21%
7
draws
37%
8
losses
42%
1
Points per game
19 (33.33%)
Total points
Away games
9
games
2
wins
22%
3
draws
33%
4
losses
44%
1
Points per game
9 (33.33%)
Total points
Alverca
Alverca
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
bad
All competitions · season 2025
2025-12-14
Primeira Liga
Arouca Arouca
Alverca Alverca
1
0
0
0
L
2025-12-22
Primeira Liga
Alverca Alverca
FC Porto FC Porto
0
3
0
1
L
2025-12-27
Primeira Liga
Estoril Estoril
Alverca Alverca
4
1
2
0
L
2026-01-04
Primeira Liga
Alverca Alverca
Famalicao Famalicao
▸ 1
0
0
0
W
2026-01-17
Primeira Liga
Alverca Alverca
Moreirense Moreirense
▸ 2
1
0
0
W
2026-01-25
Primeira Liga
SC Braga SC Braga
Alverca Alverca
5
0
4
0
L
Goals per match: 3
Goals 1st time: 1.17
Goals 2nd time: 1.83
Estrela
Estrela
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
bad
All competitions · season 2025
2025-12-15
Primeira Liga
FC Porto FC Porto
Estrela Estrela
3
1
1
0
L
2025-12-20
Primeira Liga
Estrela Estrela
Moreirense Moreirense
0
0
0
0
D
2025-12-27
Primeira Liga
Famalicao Famalicao
Estrela Estrela
2
▸ 3
2
2
W
2026-01-03
Primeira Liga
Estrela Estrela
SC Braga SC Braga
3
3
1
1
D
2026-01-19
Primeira Liga
Estrela Estrela
Estoril Estoril
0
5
0
1
L
2026-01-25
Primeira Liga
Benfica Benfica
Estrela Estrela
4
0
1
0
L
Goals per match: 4
Goals 1st time: 1.5
Goals 2nd time: 2.5
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