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Match statistics: Derby County - Swansea City
England / Championship - Round 32
15:00, February 14, 2026
Derby County
2
:
0
First half 0:0
Swansea City
Match finished
1
2.22
X
3.1
2
3.35
Math prediction: X2 — 1.62
27'
P. Agyemang
M. Stamenic
44'
47'
R. Brewster
51'
M. Clarke
67'
P. Agyemang
(C. Elder)
B. Cabango
76'
Match prediction Derby County - Swansea City
Match outcome
Swansea City
Swansea City
win or draw
Goals / Match
2.6
Total Over 2.5
50%
Total Under 3.5
79%
Home goals prediction
Derby County
Derby County
expected 1 - 2 goals
Away goals prediction
Swansea City
Swansea City
expected 1 - 2 goals
Tournament chart
Derby County Derby County
Swansea City Swansea City
Swansea City Swansea City   power × 1.26 times greater   55.7%
Swansea City Swansea City   better at attack   52%
Teams even at defence
Team comparison
Derby County Derby County
Swansea City Swansea City
Recent form
50%
50%
H2H strength
29%
71%
Goal realization
40%
60%
Poisson distribution [1]
49%
51%
Team power
44.3%
55.7%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: Championship - Round 32
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
11
Derby County Derby County
31
12
9
10
45
48.39%
45:39
+6
L
W
D
W
W
2.71
1.45
1.26
77%
52%
23%
15
Swansea City Swansea City
31
12
6
13
42
45.16%
38:37
+1
W
W
L
W
D
2.42
1.23
1.19
71%
48%
19%
Derby County
Points and results
Segment table:
2
All games
31
games
12
wins
39%
9
draws
29%
10
losses
32%
1.45
Points per game
45 (48.39%)
Total points
Home games
16
games
4
wins
25%
6
draws
38%
6
losses
38%
1.13
Points per game
18 (37.5%)
Total points
Swansea City
Points and results
Segment table:
2
All games
31
games
12
wins
39%
6
draws
19%
13
losses
42%
1.35
Points per game
42 (45.16%)
Total points
Away games
15
games
4
wins
27%
2
draws
13%
9
losses
60%
0.93
Points per game
14 (31.11%)
Total points
Derby County
Derby County
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
normal
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2
1
1
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Derby County Derby County
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▸ 1
0
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1
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1
1
1
0
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0
▸ 5
0
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W
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Championship
Derby County Derby County
Ipswich Town Ipswich Town
1
2
0
1
L
Goals per match: 2.83
Goals 1st time: 1.33
Goals 2nd time: 1.5
Swansea City
Swansea City
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
normal
All competitions · season 2025
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Millwall Millwall
Swansea City Swansea City
2
1
1
0
L
2026-01-17
Championship
Swansea City Swansea City
Birmingham City Birmingham City
1
1
1
0
D
2026-01-20
Championship
Swansea City Swansea City
Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers
▸ 3
1
1
1
W
2026-01-24
Championship
Hull City Hull City
Swansea City Swansea City
2
1
2
0
L
2026-01-31
Championship
Watford Watford
Swansea City Swansea City
0
▸ 2
0
0
W
2026-02-08
Championship
Swansea City Swansea City
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
▸ 4
0
1
0
W
Goals per match: 3
Goals 1st time: 1.17
Goals 2nd time: 1.83
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