EN
Match statistics: Casa Pia - Arouca
Portugal / Primeira Liga - Round 22
15:30, February 14, 2026
Casa Pia
3
:
2
First half 3:2
Arouca
Match finished
1
2.78
X
3.05
2
2.62
Math prediction: X2 — 1.42
J. Sanchez
6'
10'
D. Sousa
(Tiago Esgaio)
I. Barbero
11'
21'
R. Brito
(A. Conte)
25'
Cassiano
(J. Livolant)
37'
G. Larrazabal
(own goal)
A. Conte
37'
45'
Cassiano
(penalty)
56'
Kaly
73'
Cassiano
I. De Arruabarrena
79'
83'
J. Marques
Match prediction Casa Pia - Arouca
Match outcome
Arouca
Arouca
win or draw
Goals / Match
3.2
Total Over 2.5
60%
Total Under 3.5
57%
Home goals prediction
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
expected 1 - 2 goals
Away goals prediction
Arouca
Arouca
expected 1 - 2 goals
Tournament chart
Casa Pia Casa Pia
Arouca Arouca
Casa Pia Casa Pia   power × 1.37 times greater   58%
Arouca Arouca   better at attack   60%
Arouca Arouca   better at defence   59%
Team comparison
Casa Pia Casa Pia
Arouca Arouca
Recent form
36%
64%
H2H strength
93%
7%
Goal realization
88%
13%
Poisson distribution [1]
50%
50%
Team power
58%
42.2%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: Primeira Liga - Round 22
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
12
Arouca Arouca
21
6
5
10
23
36.51%
26:46
-20
W
W
L
W
L
3.43
1.24
2.19
86%
67%
52%
15
Casa Pia Casa Pia
21
4
7
10
19
30.16%
22:39
-17
D
W
D
L
L
2.9
1.05
1.86
86%
52%
33%
Casa Pia
Points and results
Segment table:
4
All games
21
games
4
wins
19%
7
draws
33%
10
losses
48%
0.9
Points per game
19 (30.16%)
Total points
Home games
10
games
1
wins
10%
5
draws
50%
4
losses
40%
0.8
Points per game
8 (26.67%)
Total points
Arouca
Points and results
Segment table:
3
All games
21
games
6
wins
29%
5
draws
24%
10
losses
48%
1.1
Points per game
23 (36.51%)
Total points
Away games
10
games
3
wins
30%
2
draws
20%
5
losses
50%
1.1
Points per game
11 (36.67%)
Total points
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
bad
All competitions · season 2025
2025-12-28
Primeira Liga
Casa Pia Casa Pia
Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes
0
0
0
0
D
2026-01-04
Primeira Liga
Rio Ave Rio Ave
Casa Pia Casa Pia
3
1
0
0
L
2026-01-16
Primeira Liga
Sporting CP Sporting CP
Casa Pia Casa Pia
3
0
2
0
L
2026-01-23
Primeira Liga
Casa Pia Casa Pia
AVS Futebol SAD AVS Futebol SAD
3
3
1
0
D
2026-02-02
Primeira Liga
Casa Pia Casa Pia
FC Porto FC Porto
▸ 2
1
2
0
W
2026-02-08
Primeira Liga
Nacional Nacional
Casa Pia Casa Pia
0
0
0
0
D
Goals per match: 2.67
Goals 1st time: 0.83
Goals 2nd time: 1.83
Arouca
Arouca
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
normal
All competitions · season 2025
2025-12-28
Primeira Liga
Arouca Arouca
Gil Vicente Gil Vicente
2
2
2
1
D
2026-01-03
Primeira Liga
Tondela Tondela
Arouca Arouca
3
1
2
1
L
2026-01-17
Primeira Liga
AVS Futebol SAD AVS Futebol SAD
Arouca Arouca
0
▸ 1
0
1
W
2026-01-24
Primeira Liga
Arouca Arouca
Sporting CP Sporting CP
1
2
0
1
L
2026-01-31
Primeira Liga
Rio Ave Rio Ave
Arouca Arouca
0
▸ 3
0
1
W
2026-02-07
Primeira Liga
Arouca Arouca
Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes
▸ 3
2
1
2
W
Goals per match: 3.33
Goals 1st time: 2
Goals 2nd time: 1.33
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