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Match statistics: FC Basel - FC Lugano
Switzerland / Super League - Round 25
15:30, February 15, 2026
FC Basel
1
:
1
First half 1:0
FC Lugano
Match finished
1
2.2
X
3.5
2
3
Math prediction: X2 — 1.65
30'
B. Traore
(penalty)
37'
I. Salah
45+3'
S. Lichtsteiner
48'
D. Schmid
D. Kelvin
56'
62'
X. Shaqiri
(missed penalty)
(D. Dos Santos)
G. Koutsias
64'
Y. Cimignani
72'
A. Papadopoulos
90+2'
Match prediction FC Basel - FC Lugano
Match outcome
FC Lugano
FC Lugano
win or draw
Goals / Match
2.8
Total Over 2.5
54%
Total Under 3.5
73%
Home goals prediction
FC Basel
FC Basel
expected 1 - 2 goals
Away goals prediction
FC Lugano
FC Lugano
expected 1 - 2 goals
Tournament chart
FC Basel FC Basel
FC Lugano FC Lugano
FC Lugano FC Lugano   power × 1.08 times greater   52%
FC Lugano FC Lugano   better at attack   60%
FC Lugano FC Lugano   better at defence   60%
Team comparison
FC Basel FC Basel
FC Lugano FC Lugano
Recent form
44%
56%
H2H strength
50%
50%
Goal realization
56%
44%
Poisson distribution [1]
58%
42%
Team power
48%
52%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: Super League - Round 25
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
3
FC Lugano FC Lugano
24
12
6
6
42
58.33%
40:29
+11
D
D
D
W
W
2.88
1.67
1.21
75%
50%
33%
4
FC Basel FC Basel
24
11
6
7
39
54.17%
36:29
+7
L
W
L
W
D
2.71
1.5
1.21
79%
58%
21%
FC Basel
Points and results
Segment table:
2
All games
24
games
11
wins
46%
6
draws
25%
7
losses
29%
1.63
Points per game
39 (54.17%)
Total points
Home games
12
games
5
wins
42%
4
draws
33%
3
losses
25%
1.58
Points per game
19 (52.78%)
Total points
FC Lugano
Points and results
Segment table:
2
All games
24
games
12
wins
50%
6
draws
25%
6
losses
25%
1.75
Points per game
42 (58.33%)
Total points
Away games
12
games
5
wins
42%
3
draws
25%
4
losses
33%
1.5
Points per game
18 (50%)
Total points
FC Basel
FC Basel
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
bad
All competitions · season 2025
2026-01-22
UEFA Europa League
Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg
FC Basel FC Basel
3
1
3
0
L
2026-01-25
Super League
FC Zurich FC Zurich
FC Basel FC Basel
3
▸ 4
2
2
W
2026-01-29
UEFA Europa League
FC Basel FC Basel
Plzen Plzen
0
1
0
1
L
2026-02-01
Super League
FC Basel FC Basel
FC Thun FC Thun
1
2
0
1
L
2026-02-08
Super League
FC Basel FC Basel
FC Zurich FC Zurich
▸ 2
1
0
1
W
2026-02-12
Super League
FC Sion FC Sion
FC Basel FC Basel
2
0
1
0
L
Goals per match: 3.33
Goals 1st time: 1.83
Goals 2nd time: 1.5
FC Lugano
FC Lugano
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
good
All competitions · season 2025
2025-12-21
Super League
FC Lugano FC Lugano
BSC Young Boys BSC Young Boys
▸ 3
0
2
0
W
2026-01-17
Super League
FC Luzern FC Luzern
FC Lugano FC Lugano
2
▸ 5
1
3
W
2026-01-24
Super League
FC Lugano FC Lugano
FC Winterthur FC Winterthur
▸ 4
1
3
0
W
2026-01-31
Super League
Grasshopper Grasshopper
FC Lugano FC Lugano
1
1
0
0
D
2026-02-07
Super League
FC Winterthur FC Winterthur
FC Lugano FC Lugano
1
1
0
0
D
2026-02-11
Super League
FC Lugano FC Lugano
Servette FC Servette FC
1
1
1
0
D
Goals per match: 3.5
Goals 1st time: 1.67
Goals 2nd time: 1.83
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