EN
Match statistics: Brest - Marseille
France / Ligue 1 - Round 23
19:45, February 20, 2026
Brest
2
:
0
First half 2:0
Marseille
Match finished
1
3.8
X
3.55
2
1.9
Math prediction: X2 — 1.25
10'
L. Ajorque
29'
L. Ajorque
(H. Magnetti)
P. Hojbjerg
67'
71'
L. Ajorque
Q. Timber
79'
(missed penalty)
M. Greenwood
82'
E. Nwaneri
89'
B. Nadir
90+5'
Match prediction Brest - Marseille
Match outcome
Marseille
Marseille
win or draw
Goals / Match
3.2
Total Over 2.5
62%
Total Under 3.5
59%
Home goals prediction
Brest
Brest
expected 1 - 2 goals
Away goals prediction
Marseille
Marseille
expected 2 - 3 goals
Tournament chart
Brest Brest
Marseille Marseille
Marseille Marseille   power × 1.79 times greater   64.2%
Marseille Marseille   better at attack   67%
Brest Brest   better at defence   63%
Team comparison
Brest Brest
Marseille Marseille
Recent form
38%
62%
H2H strength
20%
80%
Goal realization
18%
82%
Poisson distribution [1]
43%
57%
Team power
35.8%
64.2%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: Ligue 1 - Round 23
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
4
Marseille Marseille
22
12
4
6
40
60.61%
48:29
+19
D
L
D
W
W
3.5
2.18
1.32
73%
68%
50%
12
Brest Brest
22
7
6
9
27
40.91%
29:34
-5
D
W
D
L
L
2.86
1.32
1.55
82%
55%
32%
Brest
Points and results
Segment table:
3
All games
22
games
7
wins
32%
6
draws
27%
9
losses
41%
1.23
Points per game
27 (40.91%)
Total points
Home games
11
games
5
wins
45%
3
draws
27%
3
losses
27%
1.64
Points per game
18 (54.55%)
Total points
Marseille
Points and results
Segment table:
2
All games
22
games
12
wins
55%
4
draws
18%
6
losses
27%
1.82
Points per game
40 (60.61%)
Total points
Away games
11
games
5
wins
45%
1
draws
9%
5
losses
45%
1.45
Points per game
16 (48.48%)
Total points
Brest
Brest
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
normal
All competitions · season 2025
2026-01-04
Ligue 1
Brest Brest
Auxerre Auxerre
▸ 2
0
1
0
W
2026-01-18
Ligue 1
Lyon Lyon
Brest Brest
2
1
2
0
L
2026-01-25
Ligue 1
Brest Brest
Toulouse Toulouse
0
2
0
2
L
2026-02-01
Ligue 1
Nice Nice
Brest Brest
2
2
0
2
D
2026-02-07
Ligue 1
Brest Brest
Lorient Lorient
▸ 2
0
0
0
W
2026-02-14
Ligue 1
Lille Lille
Brest Brest
1
1
0
0
D
Goals per match: 2.5
Goals 1st time: 1.17
Goals 2nd time: 1.33
Marseille
Marseille
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
bad
All competitions · season 2025
2026-01-21
UEFA Champions League
Marseille Marseille
Liverpool Liverpool
0
3
0
1
L
2026-01-24
Ligue 1
Marseille Marseille
Lens Lens
▸ 3
1
2
0
W
2026-01-28
UEFA Champions League
Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV
Marseille Marseille
3
0
2
0
L
2026-01-31
Ligue 1
Paris FC Paris FC
Marseille Marseille
2
2
0
1
D
2026-02-08
Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain
Marseille Marseille
5
0
2
0
L
2026-02-14
Ligue 1
Marseille Marseille
Strasbourg Strasbourg
2
2
1
0
D
Goals per match: 3.83
Goals 1st time: 1.5
Goals 2nd time: 2.33
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